TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9cf6…a9aa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Valorant, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2927.6%8 W · 21 L-6.4wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-45.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.6
CJ McCollum: Points O/U 19.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.33
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.78
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.65
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.06
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.37
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$21.96
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$35.69
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.1
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.85
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.91
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.05
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.7
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.9
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+132.5%+$57.67
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.95
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.34
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$23.73
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+49.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$34.6
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$34.08
Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$40.34
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.92
Valorant: BBL Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$16.74
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$34.69
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.84
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.74
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.