TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$365,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$363,423

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,897 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Trail Blazers49c123,886$60,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,161.3720545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Spurs52c100,994$52,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,273.1710459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked Trail Blazers47c25,005$11,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,852.058038.8%31 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers44c24,863$11,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,050.856,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Trail Blazers45c18,010$8,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,141.2636359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Spurs53c16,449$8,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,732.213,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbab0…f131backed Spurs51c15,046$7,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,372.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Spurs55c15,000$8,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,749.969159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs50c14,346$7,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,129.7755251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Trail Blazers48c12,530$6,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,074.351,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Spurs52c8,330$4,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,998.3614946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Spurs51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9201,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Trail Blazers52c7,294$3,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,773.9293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers50c7,031$3,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,498.54,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Spurs52c6,736$3,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,251.924465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Spurs52c5,826$3,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,796.514441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Trail Blazers50c5,510$2,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,754.837355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Spurs52c4,827$2,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3172352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs49c4,277$2,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,197.431,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs52c4,230$2,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.5464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Spurs51c3,806$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.0711249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Trail Blazers44c3,731$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.751,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Spurs54c2,998$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.269149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Spurs51c2,703$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.3332846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Trail Blazers51c2,610$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.0169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Spurs54c2,504$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.5970246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Trail Blazers46c2,430$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.6414842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Spurs51c2,278$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.1114940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Spurs51c2,246$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.3922948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Spurs45c2,205$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.22,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs48c2,095$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.962,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs50c2,060$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.081,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Spurs57c2,000$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86565045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Spurs51c1,994$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.8926337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Trail Blazers47c1,936$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.1156453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Trail Blazers47c1,929$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.783831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xac03…5350backed Trail Blazers49c1,741$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.323447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Spurs53c1,693$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.3130446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Spurs55c1,648$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.212,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Spurs51c1,553$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.9510645.3%48 W · 58 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Trail Blazers51c1,442$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.7312542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Trail Blazers49c1,400$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.691,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs56c1,399$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.964,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Spurs55c1,242$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.7249249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d4…5f81backed Spurs40c1,208$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.094626.1%12 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Spurs57c1,183$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.7821147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Spurs51c1,142$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.7492058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Spurs51c1,139$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.1119745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Spurs49c986.83$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.8761638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Trail Blazers45c976.67$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.536954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Spurs51c948.87$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.946647%31 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Trail Blazers43c927.64$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.0314338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Spurs50c891.82$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.9136143.5%157 W · 204 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Spurs47c889$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.17425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-46.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Spurs51c873.54$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.038451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Trail Blazers49c872$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.2812240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Spurs51c854.13$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.5214049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs50c807.74$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.5989850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Spurs41c800$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47289444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Spurs51c791.36$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.8565762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Trail Blazers48c735.89$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.221,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs52c734.15$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.8784443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Spurs50c709$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ba…3bccbacked Spurs23c700.43$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.333030%9 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+10%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Trail Blazers45c633.51$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.0863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Trail Blazers45c587.42$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.341,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c17…3844backed Spurs51c570.94$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.764953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Trail Blazers46c557.78$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9428842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd28…dbf0backed Spurs52c539.99$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.194042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Spurs49c484.7$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.210949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Spurs53c474.87$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.8787049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Spurs51c465.89$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.291,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Spurs52c414$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.8132045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Spurs56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1765,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs49c390.36$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.272,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Spurs51c388.24$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.248556.5%48 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x503a…1e89backed Trail Blazers50c384.6$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.36155.7%34 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Trail Blazers50c368.32$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.1645251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs53c358.41$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.752150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Trail Blazers53c352.81$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.481,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Trail Blazers50c309.43$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.721,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Trail Blazers45c294.46$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5132351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Spurs55c291.9$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3620754.1%112 W · 95 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Trail Blazers48c273.51$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.581,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Trail Blazers51c272.7$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.0840344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Spurs53c272.3$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9837842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2b…f0a9backed Trail Blazers49c263.12$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8706…e77ebacked Trail Blazers49c263.12$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Spurs55c262.76$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.357565.3%49 W · 26 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Trail Blazers56c262$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7215846.8%74 W · 84 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Spurs55c260.74$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.342,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba5…d195backed Trail Blazers49c259.17$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.99650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Trail Blazers49c247.1$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1962051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Spurs52c244.74$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4822351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Spurs40c239.1$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.5111040%44 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb78…2d5cbacked Trail Blazers48c232.11$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Trail Blazers33c227.39$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.381,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Trail Blazers48c227.11$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.911,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Trail Blazers48c206.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3227450%137 W · 137 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked Spurs46c203.78$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.044030%12 W · 28 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.