NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfca63e9e354774b8674e76c6980241678adb53af31edd8892d3df8b068ef258e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Spurs, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 2,887$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.74 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spurs | 51c | 1,296$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.11 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs | 42c | 1,282$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.45 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,257$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.88 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 919.42$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.92 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…5112backed Spurs | 33c | 866.09$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 799.59$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.11 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…5faabacked Spurs | 52c | 637.18$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.33 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 623.76$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.49 | 369 | 54.7%202 W · 167 L | +28.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Spurs | 50c | 536.38$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.18 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Spurs | 42c | 471.37$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.98 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Spurs | 50c | 414.34$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.01 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Spurs | 45c | 404.56$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.98 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 398.41$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.46 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Spurs | 68c | 355.29$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.12 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Trail Blazers | 62c | 259.5$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 253.62$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.36 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Spurs | 50c | 200.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Spurs | 58c | 170.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Spurs | 42c | 142.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Spurs | 57c | 137.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.92 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 131.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Spurs | 45c | 120.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…abbbbacked Spurs | 68c | 119.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Spurs | 42c | 106.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Trail Blazers | 73c | 93.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Spurs | 74c | 93.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Spurs | 74c | 92.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Spurs | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…c622backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…7999backed Spurs | 52c | 49.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…4919backed Spurs | 55c | 35.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Spurs | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 33.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Spurs | 42c | 28.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Spurs | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Trail Blazers | 66c | 27.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Spurs | 72c | 27.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Spurs | 51c | 26.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 25.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe127…82a2backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 21.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fe…09c9backed Spurs | 57c | 20.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd7…758bbacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 19.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497d…c4eebacked Trail Blazers | 80c | 18.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…9597backed Spurs | 64c | 16.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Scoot Henderson: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. Trail BlazersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.