TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$235,763
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$227,537

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,763 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over47c42,000$19,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,259.996152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under53c40,764$21,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,605.0456646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Under52c12,309$6,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,400.628953.9%48 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under54c8,515$4,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,598.2984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over59c8,291$4,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,364.243,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over51c8,021$4,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,898.0637355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c6,356$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,930.471,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c5,891$3,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,109.734,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Over48c5,830$2,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,031.6712450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d7babacked Under16c5,790$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.93714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick38cpaid-75.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c5,663$2,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,991.266,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Over46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70015850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Under53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.9944337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over53c4,943$2,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,308.2893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under42c4,863$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.782,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c4,735$2,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,248.781,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under50c4,098$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.8869848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a5…ee3dbacked Under23c3,951$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.71616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-73.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over69c3,714$2,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over48c3,124$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.481,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Under20c3,093$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.2218536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under16c2,666$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.226337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Over46c2,499$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.3915349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57f9…bcd9backed Under21c2,228$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.414841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under20c2,154$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.971,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c2,088$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.4265045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a22…c1efbacked Over51c1,995$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c1,994$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.481,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over49c1,981$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.120744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over46c1,958$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.322,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Over48c1,831$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.78348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Under18c1,779$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.814640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5760…40aabacked Under50c1,746$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8739651%49 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Under44c1,612$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.3316555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over48c1,604$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.2517052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under54c1,524$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.341,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under30c1,481$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.091,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over47c1,479$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.217643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc68a…07f0backed Under54c1,450$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.742842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Under55c1,339$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.5621957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over41c1,319$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.352,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over46c1,317$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.1318444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over44c1,296$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.3155251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Under53c1,200$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.977156.3%40 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under51c1,134$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.22,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over46c1,111$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.9444740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over46c1,077$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.6732045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over48c1,032$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.3966352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Over47c999.93$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9628547.7%136 W · 149 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Under54c972.4$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.111750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under62c955.1$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.57946.8%37 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Under52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.644052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…325bbacked Under52c933.38$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.36633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4321…8fdcbacked Under54c900.37$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.21250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c875.81$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.832,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under52c868.81$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.5916842.3%71 W · 97 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Under11c860.55$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6618842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ccc…64c5backed Under58c805.17$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.272759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Over48c756.52$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.283455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over47c726.52$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.941,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under55c707.64$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.295452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd456…aba4backed Over76c652.09$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.421233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-54.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Over46c597.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.9137842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Over49c597.5$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.73850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over49c593.51$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.6932450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Over68c573.57$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.062568%17 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under52c560.31$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.369950.5%50 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ed…f28dbacked Under54c525.69$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.871450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under53c517.24$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.011,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Under56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28014355.9%80 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27014338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2268…05bdbacked Under28c493.44$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.213948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over46c468.94$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.7462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over46c468.84$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.171,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1fa…b277backed Under52c466.92$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.8825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-64.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over47c439.99$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.9787049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over78c422.89$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.031,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x164d…50c0backed Under21c409.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.524257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over49c401.41$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.7215543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under53c399$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4756843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Under63c393.51$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.7116750.3%84 W · 83 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe45…a3e9backed Under50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1944146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Under53c370$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.328949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Under54c361.73$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.348654.7%47 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c344.14$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.831,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Over47c321.36$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.328350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over46c320.87$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.2731046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2ac…a82abacked Under54c306.13$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.311338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Under19c299.82$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.975246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa945…110fbacked Under16c299.22$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1560%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under54c291.72$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.539652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under54c270.11$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.867150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c265.84$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.574,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Under38c251$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.38641.9%36 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under19c247.36$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4749938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4499…943bbacked Under40c239.23$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.544344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d8e…5d6abacked Under54c234.1$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.412524%6 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.20per pick44cpaid-48.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under53c222.51$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4645251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.