NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1da0f7743251eebb8dd6de96cb16bccc8708acad4d2c4135200580ba1c05537e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over | 47c | 42,000$19,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,259.99 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 53c | 40,764$21,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,605.04 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Under | 52c | 12,309$6,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400.62 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 54c | 8,515$4,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,598.29 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 59c | 8,291$4,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,364.24 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 51c | 8,021$4,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,898.06 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 6,356$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930.47 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 5,891$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,109.73 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Over | 48c | 5,830$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.67 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d7babacked Under | 16c | 5,790$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 5,663$2,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.26 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.99 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 53c | 4,943$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.28 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 4,863$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.78 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 4,735$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.78 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 50c | 4,098$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.88 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a5…ee3dbacked Under | 23c | 3,951$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 69c | 3,714$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 48c | 3,124$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.48 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Under | 20c | 3,093$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.22 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 16c | 2,666$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.2 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Over | 46c | 2,499$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.39 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…bcd9backed Under | 21c | 2,228$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.41 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 20c | 2,154$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.97 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 49c | 2,088$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.42 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a22…c1efbacked Over | 51c | 1,995$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 1,994$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.48 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 49c | 1,981$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.1 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 46c | 1,958$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.32 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Over | 48c | 1,831$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.7 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 18c | 1,779$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.8 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Under | 50c | 1,746$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 44c | 1,612$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.33 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 48c | 1,604$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.25 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 54c | 1,524$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.34 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 30c | 1,481$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.09 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 47c | 1,479$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.2 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…07f0backed Under | 54c | 1,450$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.74 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Under | 55c | 1,339$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.56 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 41c | 1,319$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.35 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 46c | 1,317$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.13 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 44c | 1,296$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.31 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Under | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.97 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 51c | 1,134$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.2 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.94 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 46c | 1,077$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.67 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 48c | 1,032$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.39 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Over | 47c | 999.93$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.96 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Under | 54c | 972.4$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.1 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 62c | 955.1$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.5 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Under | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 440 | 52.5%231 W · 209 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…325bbacked Under | 52c | 933.38$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4321…8fdcbacked Under | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 875.81$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.83 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 52c | 868.81$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.59 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Under | 11c | 860.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…64c5backed Under | 58c | 805.17$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.27 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…33bebacked Over | 48c | 756.52$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.28 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 726.52$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.94 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 55c | 707.64$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.2 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…aba4backed Over | 76c | 652.09$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 46c | 597.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.91 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Over | 49c | 597.5$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.69 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Over | 68c | 573.57$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.06 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…f28dbacked Under | 54c | 525.69$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.87 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 53c | 517.24$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.01 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2268…05bdbacked Under | 28c | 493.44$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.21 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 46c | 468.94$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.74 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 468.84$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.17 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…b277backed Under | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 47c | 439.99$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.97 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 78c | 422.89$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.03 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…50c0backed Under | 21c | 409.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.52 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 49c | 401.41$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.72 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 53c | 399$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.47 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Under | 63c | 393.51$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.71 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…a3e9backed Under | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Under | 53c | 370$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.3 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Under | 54c | 361.73$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.34 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 344.14$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.83 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Over | 47c | 321.36$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.32 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 46c | 320.87$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.27 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ac…a82abacked Under | 54c | 306.13$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Under | 19c | 299.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa945…110fbacked Under | 16c | 299.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Under | 54c | 291.72$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.53 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 54c | 270.11$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 265.84$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.57 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Under | 38c | 251$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Under | 19c | 247.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…943bbacked Under | 40c | 239.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.54 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…5d6abacked Under | 54c | 234.1$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.41 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 53c | 222.51$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.46 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Scoot Henderson: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. Trail BlazersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.