TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$341,215
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$350,162

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $341,215 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x47a8…52f9backed Trail Blazers58c73,387$42,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,564.653036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacdf…f80abacked Trail Blazers52c49,358$25,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,718.524656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Trail Blazers50c40,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22f9…f814backed Spurs42c27,308$11,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,838.431553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a22…c1efbacked Trail Blazers50c22,601$11,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,384250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Spurs50c19,400$9,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,7003540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs48c18,821$9,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,694.314,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Trail Blazers60c16,315$9,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,758.8920352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Spurs42c14,478$6,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,397.2424942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Spurs42c13,256$5,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,688.5131644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Spurs45c12,020$5,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,634.9624045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs46c11,821$5,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,357.256,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs50c8,853$4,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,446.6693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed Spurs44c8,416$3,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,685.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs47c7,587$3,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,002.662,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Spurs44c7,208$3,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,063.7669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs48c6,937$3,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,627.528,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Spurs44c6,096$2,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,413.8712646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs44c5,871$2,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,286.831,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Spurs50c5,428$2,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,714.137353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a84…ffbbbacked Trail Blazers58c4,314$2,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.99330.1%28 W · 65 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Spurs49c3,880$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.85345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Spurs48c3,745$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,932.562,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs44c2,952$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Spurs47c2,412$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.5916743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Spurs44c2,351$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.3211243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Trail Blazers51c2,329$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.0117055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf874…b5efbacked Spurs43c2,074$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1925851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Spurs49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers58c1,900$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.991,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs49c1,838$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.182,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs46c1,603$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.411,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Spurs48c1,364$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.3218444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Spurs48c1,354$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.886152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Trail Blazers54c1,300$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.1762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Trail Blazers50c1,225$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.4721653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed Spurs49c1,222$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.266238.7%24 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ba…3bccbacked Spurs14c1,151$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.563030%9 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+10%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x23ef…1d4cbacked Trail Blazers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005337.7%20 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Trail Blazers22c999.85$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9728056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Trail Blazers52c971.5$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9936954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Trail Blazers57c888.12$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.231,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade1…0493backed Trail Blazers50c875$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.53740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Spurs48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4165,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Spurs44c779.71$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.647248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Spurs2c742.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.6116429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Spurs48c713.04$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.7837355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Spurs48c704.34$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.6965045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa04b…f09bbacked Trail Blazers60c691.14$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.771154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Trail Blazers57c598.19$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.9721957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Spurs45c579.56$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.521,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Spurs48c537.44$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.2432045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Trail Blazers50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Trail Blazers6c499.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Spurs45c495.23$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.9661638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Spurs42c459.62$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.5836450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Trail Blazers50c456.67$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.3413563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Trail Blazers52c442.69$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.7314443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Spurs46c417.61$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5137842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Spurs50c397.7$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.8536248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Trail Blazers34c394.12$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13338242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Trail Blazers57c386.8$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.4895452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Spurs46c381.83$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.2514640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Trail Blazers51c378.09$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8230453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Trail Blazers55c334.52$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.5728842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Trail Blazers51c310.05$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.257650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Trail Blazers51c306.41$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2768542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cbb…8a37backed Spurs42c287.22$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.594148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Spurs44c263.56$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.68545.9%39 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Spurs49c262.31$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.7813151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Spurs46c227.9$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0387049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Trail Blazers65c219.94$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.81,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Spurs47c215.45$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.731,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Trail Blazers69c213.35$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2115846.8%74 W · 84 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Trail Blazers79c205.2$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.9611743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Spurs49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0838946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Spurs36c201.03$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.762,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Spurs45c192.32$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5316842.3%71 W · 97 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed Trail Blazers51c186.82$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9515650.6%79 W · 77 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Trail Blazers52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.124156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Spurs41c185.12$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5811232.1%36 W · 76 L-17.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Spurs19c181.25$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8120837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked Trail Blazers40c180.05$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0211443%49 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Trail Blazers51c175.54$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5392750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Trail Blazers58c168.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.481,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Trail Blazers50c166.38$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1922552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63cc…e641backed Spurs30c159.57$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Trail Blazers64c158$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.822170.6%156 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Spurs47c154.81$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0514347.6%68 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa5d…d8a8backed Trail Blazers56c151.45$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.81560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5a…669bbacked Trail Blazers17c150.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.821330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-52.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs44c148.78$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7589850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…ea68backed Spurs33c146.32$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.64037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69a2…3beebacked Trail Blazers51c141.48$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.213554.8%74 W · 61 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd741…0b20backed Spurs44c131.78$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.84650%23 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15b5…ef23backed Spurs39c122.77$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+127.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Trail Blazers51c121.65$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0431354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.452150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc651…4e2cbacked Trail Blazers60c117.33$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.57560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Spurs42c114.9$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6424248.3%117 W · 125 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.