TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,614
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,685

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,614 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Under47c30,679$14,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,405.4169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c27,717$14,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,029.0584443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over50c27,112$13,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,630.2320545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Under51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,20037627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under51c10,122$5,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,162.0816547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c5,480$2,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,678.836,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d7babacked Under24c4,971$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.95714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick38cpaid-75.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Over53c4,567$2,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.7117055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Under49c4,048$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.374949%24 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.9984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under11c3,498$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.191,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Under5c3,314$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.53425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-46.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under50c3,000$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4901,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over50c3,000$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.9589853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under48c2,847$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.1655251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over53c2,730$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.7169049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d35…96afbacked Under51c2,661$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.773138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c2,498$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.714,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under48c2,362$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.751,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c2,346$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.61,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over52c1,997$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.3720744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under48c1,935$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.021,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over49c1,838$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.382,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over50c1,689$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.213246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over55c1,424$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.8340451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Over59c1,321$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.6611757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc510…5c9fbacked Over71c1,187$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.25955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over49c1,168$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.6820051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53945146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c1,074$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.254,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Under23c1,058$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.1511639.7%46 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over45c999.96$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.9818844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Over49c988.79$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.2811556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under48c973.54$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.6928842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d4…40b9backed Under51c951.57$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.32556%14 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Over52c933.85$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.2515850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under49c901.96$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.6866352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over50c895.23$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.1893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac03…5350backed Over49c875.05$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.283447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over49c810.77$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.4944740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a41…1cbbbacked Under50c782.39$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Over52c776.96$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.945945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over51c667.67$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.571,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c624.41$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.211,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Over54c591.68$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.1711153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c577.25$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.765,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under16c559.17$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4420837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over48c498.79$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.3717250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Over49c484.7$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.28451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over54c481.09$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.4747651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under16c465.72$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.772,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under63c465.62$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.3495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under20c402.51$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4620353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19421147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa686…5b61backed Under51c380.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.122544%11 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Over52c369.8$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.5111946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under49c359.41$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.212,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed Over53c352.07$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.762245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over75c345.61$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6245251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under45c343.65$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.642,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over50c335.01$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.5564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under50c333$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.526745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under33c322.28$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.71,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under5c315.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7952230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e14…ffa6backed Over49c296.76$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.35728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c294.9$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.781,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under50c281.3$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.657150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Over52c280.15$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4718543.2%80 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Over49c244.01$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.454847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under49c239.67$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2632045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under51c218.39$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3842853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c217.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.031,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf99c…dd3abacked Over79c206.23$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.311526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under48c199.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8517043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Over49c198.18$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0711156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c194.97$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4918850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa26…4150backed Over52c184.9$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb74f…d843backed Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.186250%31 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under55c178.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5837647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa222…7d3cbacked Under38c178.82$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.821338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-41%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under15c178.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8214946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Under51c178.38$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.858641.9%36 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under50c160.49$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.529653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under49c157.36$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5710552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34de…8e6bbacked Over79c148.94$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.522962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Over51c143.47$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5611057.3%63 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under21c137.17$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.811,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c133.27$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.851,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under49c132.84$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2287049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.271752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09d…d23fbacked Under15c109.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710651.9%55 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f6c…df05backed Under49c109.41$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.617256.9%41 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b69…2161backed Under47c109.11$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.281258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f8…2922backed Under47c107.96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23dc…7520backed Under47c107.71$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.62742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b8f…43adbacked Under47c106.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.21757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.