NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x230ce01b35d4adbccac6f3424eceddb141a153cf22beea08f8e9800a16602e9e

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Spursof Spurs, Trail Blazers
Resolved: Apr 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $713,710
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $703,424

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $713,710 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 406 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Trail Blazers	50c	172,724$85,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85,770.3	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Spurs	52c	135,871$70,915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64,956.17	50	36%18 W · 32 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs	49c	107,146$52,637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54,508.59	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Spurs	49c	44,496$21,803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,693.08	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Trail Blazers	48c	38,268$18,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,368.64	384	34.9%134 W · 250 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Spurs	51c	33,971$17,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,645.79	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Trail Blazers	50c	30,589$15,284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,284.21	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Trail Blazers	51c	27,778$14,167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,166.57	148	42.6%63 W · 85 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22f9…f814backed Trail Blazers	48c	27,460$13,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,180.67	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Trail Blazers	51c	27,000$13,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,770	159	52.8%84 W · 75 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Trail Blazers	51c	25,583$13,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,127.92	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Spurs	50c	18,818$9,409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,409	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Spurs	53c	17,426$9,236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,190.22	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Trail Blazers	53c	17,283$9,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,118.55	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	-12.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Trail Blazers	51c	15,434$7,847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,846.82	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8545…23bebacked Trail Blazers	48c	14,995$7,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,197.6	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.23per pick	40cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Spurs	48c	13,668$6,606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,061.86	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs	49c	13,208$6,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,718.16	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Trail Blazers	49c	11,172$5,422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,422.31	170	55.3%94 W · 76 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Trail Blazers	49c	9,506$4,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,649.97	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Trail Blazers	51c	8,367$4,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,232.09	274	55.5%152 W · 122 L	+15.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Spurs	50c	8,305$4,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,152.57	193	59.6%115 W · 78 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Trail Blazers	48c	8,221$3,946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,946.19	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Spurs	51c	7,548$3,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,698.69	170	42.4%72 W · 98 L	+8.1wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Trail Blazers	48c	6,661$3,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,197.04	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f26…1b86backed Spurs	45c	6,343$2,855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,488.89	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Trail Blazers	55c	6,323$3,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,477.5	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs	51c	6,131$3,144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,986.98	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Spurs	48c	6,000$2,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,119.75	215	49.8%107 W · 108 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Trail Blazers	48c	5,513$2,646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,646.47	187	49.2%92 W · 95 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Trail Blazers	48c	5,439$2,611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,610.92	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Spurs	50c	5,207$2,609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,598.62	146	40.4%59 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers	47c	5,055$2,385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,385.05	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Trail Blazers	50c	4,969$2,481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,481.44	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	-7.3wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xad63…d66fbacked Trail Blazers	47c	4,874$2,291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,290.78	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e52…b713backed Spurs	47c	4,609$2,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,443.01	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Trail Blazers	50c	4,085$2,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,022.48	135	63%85 W · 50 L	+15.6wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Trail Blazers	48c	4,039$1,939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,938.78	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Trail Blazers	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,959.99	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Trail Blazers	51c	3,805$1,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,953.3	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Trail Blazers	48c	3,736$1,794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,793.51	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Spurs	52c	3,701$1,943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,758.28	55	61.8%34 W · 21 L	+6.7wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs	52c	3,545$1,845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,700.31	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs	63c	3,420$2,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,253.17	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Spurs	49c	3,215$1,575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,639.44	304	48.4%147 W · 157 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Trail Blazers	53c	3,038$1,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,610.39	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Trail Blazers	52c	2,958$1,538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,538.3	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Spurs	53c	2,750$1,458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,292.68	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecc3…ff02backed Trail Blazers	48c	2,531$1,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,214.88	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf12f…0505backed Trail Blazers	48c	2,444$1,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,173.22	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Trail Blazers	46c	2,410$1,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,108.57	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe53c…ee05backed Trail Blazers	48c	2,398$1,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,150.93	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-6.9wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Trail Blazers	48c	2,350$1,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,127.96	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Trail Blazers	50c	2,244$1,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,122.2	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Spurs	53c	2,200$1,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,033.99	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-2.9wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Trail Blazers	53c	2,198$1,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,156.98	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs	52c	2,169$1,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,034.3	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs	47c	2,033$965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,067.57	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Trail Blazers	48c	2,018$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.8	219	43.4%95 W · 124 L	-12.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Spurs	54c	2,009$1,083 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$926.74	95	40%38 W · 57 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Spurs	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940	310	46.8%145 W · 165 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Trail Blazers	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	199	37.2%74 W · 125 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb64f…0d2abacked Trail Blazers	54c	1,945$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050.19	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Trail Blazers	48c	1,938$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$930.05	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Trail Blazers	47c	1,849$875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$874.91	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Trail Blazers	54c	1,801$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$972.4	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Spurs	49c	1,638$803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$835.28	126	46%58 W · 68 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Trail Blazers	51c	1,626$824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$823.66	304	53.3%162 W · 142 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Trail Blazers	53c	1,625$861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$861.09	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Trail Blazers	51c	1,494$757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$756.8	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Trail Blazers	50c	1,358$679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679	70	54.3%38 W · 32 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Trail Blazers	38c	1,281$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.16	288	42.7%123 W · 165 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d35…96afbacked Trail Blazers	54c	1,264$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$682.62	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6555…beecbacked Trail Blazers	51c	1,256$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Trail Blazers	47c	1,195$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.65	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd1f…2bd0backed Trail Blazers	48c	1,195$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.52	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Trail Blazers	53c	1,171$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.36	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3317…ab0cbacked Trail Blazers	48c	1,156$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.88	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Trail Blazers	48c	1,138$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.4	348	54%188 W · 160 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Trail Blazers	48c	1,100$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528	143	38.5%55 W · 88 L	-18.4wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Spurs	52c	1,100$573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$526.9	451	46.1%208 W · 243 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x073a…91e7backed Trail Blazers	52c	1,099$572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$571.72	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Trail Blazers	47c	1,089$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.83	197	45.2%89 W · 108 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Spurs	47c	1,070$498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.04	358	49.7%178 W · 180 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Spurs	48c	1,061$513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$548.65	452	51.1%231 W · 221 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Spurs	50c	1,053$527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$526.66	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Spurs	49c	1,045$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535.61	166	42.2%70 W · 96 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Spurs	52c	1,028$533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495	350	49.4%173 W · 177 L	+17.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d4…a050backed Trail Blazers	48c	1,025$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Spurs	48c	1,000$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$525	796	50.9%405 W · 391 L	+63.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Spurs	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	261	49.4%129 W · 132 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62de…39fbbacked Trail Blazers	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Spurs	52c	1,000$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	443	45.1%200 W · 243 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Spurs	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	291	49.5%144 W · 147 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed Spurs	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07df…7b2dbacked Trail Blazers	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-3.0wins	-0.33per pick	55cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd9ae…b741backed Trail Blazers	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.23per pick	53cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6732…d7f0backed Spurs	52c	1,000$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-54%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aec…4cfdbacked Trail Blazers	48c	997.86$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.97	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs	49c	988.79$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.28	186	43.5%81 W · 105 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)this page
1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 22.5No won
Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 9.5No won
Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Scoot Henderson: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
Spurs vs. Trail BlazersSpurs won
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5Over won
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5Over won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event