TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6732…d7f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 60 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT3545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.61
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.97
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsbacked Yes Run · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$179.71
NRFI: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,120
NRFI: Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.02
NRFI: Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$38.71
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$153
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.38
NRFI: San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.98
NRFI: New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$609.44
NRFI: Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$647.93
NRFI: Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$259.46
NRFI: Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.27
NRFI: Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.06
NRFI: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.43
NRFI: New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.97
NRFI: Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$121.5
NRFI: Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.85
NRFI: Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.23
NRFI: Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
NRFI: Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+137%+$2,890
NRFI: Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.63
NRFI: Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,598Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$2,347.44
NRFI: Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padresbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
NRFI: Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$877.33
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+447.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,423.55
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$223.19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$984Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$984.21
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$713Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$713.17
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,233Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$865.17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$890Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$890
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$647.5
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.99
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.31
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$770
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40,004Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14,056.42
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.83
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$918Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+791%+$7,263.99
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+7,042.9%+$16,761.97
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$538.85
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$513.93
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,081Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+400.9%+$8,343.95
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+532.4%+$85,180.6
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13,153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+400.9%+$52,724.12
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+1,150%+$5,520
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+1,328.6%+$2,789.96
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$779.99
Oeiras 4: Francesca Jones vs Guiomar Maristanybacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.63
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,380Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$2,119.95
Busan: August Holmgren vs Liam Broadybacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$19.84
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$682Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$278.69
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Vit Koprivabacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$300
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,449Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$621
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,530Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$1,430.48
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.37
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.28
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$899.99
Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$21.27
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,524.95
Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$40.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-54%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+138.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$409.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,821Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,821
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.