MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b6404fdfa1a6a26ddc868b5c2bed1cdabef3b87e07fd150538b396d41153c39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Under | 54c | 5,703$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.35 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 2,838$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.6 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Over | 54c | 2,189$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.12 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 51c | 1,739$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.65 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 1,157$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.17 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Over | 47c | 1,107$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.42 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 53c | 995.04$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.37 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 46c | 991.38$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.97 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 29c | 989.75$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.11 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 916.17$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.06 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Over | 2c | 899.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 859.9$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.51 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 46c | 783.15$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.25 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Over | 46c | 764.43$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.64 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Over | 46c | 755.57$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.56 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 46c | 755.57$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.56 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 46c | 740.79$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.76 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Over | 49c | 576.16$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.32 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 54c | 572.4$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.1 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 565.39$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.04 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 72c | 498.01$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Over | 53c | 475.34$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.89 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 46c | 421.43$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.65 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 409.12$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.23 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…f9d8backed Over | 46c | 390.76$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.75 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Under | 45c | 367.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under | 49c | 354.9$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Under | 47c | 325.89$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.72 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Over | 55c | 313.53$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 55c | 313.46$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6732…d7f0backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Under | 48c | 299.97$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 47c | 251.19$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.13 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 47c | 234.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.23 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 45c | 221.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Under | 46c | 214.15$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 54c | 182.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 54c | 182.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 47c | 167.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.86 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 51c | 164.07$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 108.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Under | 46c | 107.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Under | 48c | 102.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 44c | 99.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 68c | 92.94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 46c | 84.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 47c | 83.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Under | 49c | 81.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd831…30c1backed Under | 49c | 80.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Under | 33c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 55c | 73.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Under | 47c | 70.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 56c | 66.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed Under | 47c | 52.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6c…e9a0backed Under | 47c | 52.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 50.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 54c | 47.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Over | 52c | 47.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 52c | 46.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 44c | 32.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 55c | 28.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…7a20backed Over | 54c | 27.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…18eebacked Under | 47c | 26.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…5be2backed Under | 47c | 26.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Under won
- NRFI: Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago CubsNo won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.