Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98aa2f28e0610fa97d787c6e9875e37160cec1f4219dbdf86a3111616e8b700d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,091,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,623,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,091,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 30c | 89,083$26,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,757.8 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 18c | 74,307$13,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,379.22 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes | 29c | 42,103$12,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,393.21 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 10c | 35,157$3,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,403.35 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 29c | 34,512$10,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,145.39 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 70c | 31,679$22,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,384.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…8d67backed Yes | 19c | 26,467$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Yes | 18c | 25,425$4,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,486.28 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 30c | 25,142$7,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,513.55 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed Yes | 28c | 24,815$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 24c | 22,042$5,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,210.51 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…b251backed Yes | 18c | 19,191$3,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,452.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…c3eebacked Yes | 19c | 17,739$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed16…ad27backed Yes | 30c | 16,773$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 22c | 15,519$3,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,385.83 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b8…0446backed Yes | 21c | 15,374$3,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 5c | 15,126$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Yes | 19c | 13,500$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Yes | 18c | 13,498$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.43 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes | 15c | 12,658$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.4 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Yes | 17c | 12,360$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.11 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 74c | 11,731$8,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,085.06 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 27c | 11,116$3,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…ee24backed Yes | 18c | 11,066$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes | 30c | 11,000$3,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,314.41 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 27c | 10,559$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.89 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Yes | 16c | 10,435$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.45 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Yes | 33c | 10,096$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.38 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9747…d088backed Yes | 25c | 10,065$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6732…d7f0backed No | 73c | 10,000$7,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Yes | 33c | 9,563$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,151 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…b881backed Yes | 25c | 9,478$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 19c | 8,730$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.62 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…16eabacked Yes | 18c | 8,523$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes | 16c | 8,445$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.85 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…6ffebacked Yes | 19c | 8,414$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.98 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 7,919$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.31 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Yes | 17c | 7,877$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Yes | 33c | 7,142$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ea…1dc2backed Yes | 19c | 6,588$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cea…727fbacked Yes | 18c | 6,530$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…109dbacked Yes | 24c | 6,310$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.01 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…cfe2backed Yes | 21c | 6,109$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 75c | 6,039$4,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.44 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a08…9513backed Yes | 17c | 5,781$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Yes | 20c | 5,719$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.64 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Yes | 36c | 5,580$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 19c | 5,500$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.5 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Yes | 18c | 5,456$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.68 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d86bbacked Yes | 18c | 5,453$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 15c | 5,448$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.74 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -91%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 25c | 5,352$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.78 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a4…b704backed Yes | 22c | 5,148$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Yes | 17c | 4,983$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Yes | 24c | 4,848$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.87 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe86d…47c2backed No | 66c | 4,725$3,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8633…a08dbacked Yes | 26c | 4,652$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811d…f13dbacked Yes | 22c | 4,634$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Yes | 16c | 4,559$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85dd…62d4backed Yes | 33c | 4,543$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…445cbacked No | 75c | 4,500$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…7d8dbacked Yes | 35c | 4,428$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.3 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…8016backed Yes | 33c | 4,422$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb9…e983backed Yes | 17c | 4,413$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Yes | 12c | 4,246$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.86 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf6…d7f7backed Yes | 24c | 4,089$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.21 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 14c | 3,993$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.36 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 23c | 3,910$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff75…b615backed Yes | 15c | 3,829$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.64 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…2ea7backed Yes | 23c | 3,751$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.14 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6489…2ddfbacked Yes | 29c | 3,579$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be1…68f3backed No | 79c | 3,528$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked No | 74c | 3,492$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 19c | 3,269$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.47 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…b7f8backed Yes | 20c | 3,242$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.94 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 20c | 3,228$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.13 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Yes | 34c | 3,162$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…54edbacked Yes | 17c | 3,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…d83cbacked Yes | 33c | 2,990$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81fa…c4d6backed Yes | 14c | 2,890$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.04 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,826$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes | 29c | 2,823$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be5…603dbacked Yes | 24c | 2,717$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…e944backed Yes | 14c | 2,614$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.04 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d31…4421backed Yes | 21c | 2,544$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 2,544$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes | 22c | 2,535$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee39…d66abacked Yes | 19c | 2,485$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Yes | 24c | 2,484$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd63b…21c0backed No | 66c | 2,438$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…7cafbacked Yes | 21c | 2,372$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd30…8cd0backed No | 66c | 2,350$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +189%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Yes | 20c | 2,343$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…800cbacked No | 66c | 2,224$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +189.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 23c | 2,166$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…946cbacked Yes | 22c | 2,128$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…4fdcbacked Yes | 9c | 2,111$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…11f7backed Yes | 21c | 2,098$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 17c | 2,096$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Yes | 19c | 2,088$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.35 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?this page
- Will Akron win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Auburn win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Cal Baptist win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Clemson win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Creighton win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Furman win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Georgia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Hawaii win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will High Point win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Hofstra win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Howard win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Idaho win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kennesaw State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kentucky win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will LIU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Lehigh win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Louisville win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will McNeese win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Miami (FL) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Miami (OH) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes won
- Will Missouri win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will NC State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Nebraska win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will North Carolina win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will North Dakota State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Northern Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Ohio State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Penn win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Prairie View A&M win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Queens win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will SMU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Saint Louis win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Santa Clara win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Siena win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will South Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will St. Mary's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will TCU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Tennessee State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas A&M win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas Tech win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Troy win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.