Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x198311c84941c87d3fa4a1d69728a342bbf1ffd1b4f7e48b6fb54fe75289da7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $998,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $998,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x571b…9e76backed Yes | 1c | 176,779$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d241backed Yes | 0c | 50,890$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 0c | 42,411$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…5112backed Yes | 1c | 37,185$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.85 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 24,086$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abd…c83ebacked Yes | 1c | 12,510$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01fb…ad54backed Yes | 1c | 12,313$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd887…4986backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…8aa6backed Yes | 1c | 10,210$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d07…06f2backed Yes | 1c | 10,140$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…6d8abacked Yes | 1c | 10,130$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…3041backed Yes | 1c | 10,102$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…57acbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…1325backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…92b5backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…bf0ebacked Yes | 0c | 9,762$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Yes | 0c | 9,550$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d6…4336backed Yes | 1c | 9,463$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…6ffebacked Yes | 1c | 7,904$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e4…b7aebacked Yes | 1c | 7,884$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Yes | 2c | 7,754$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.78 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 2c | 7,604$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…19a3backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 0c | 5,350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 82 | 2.4%2 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…c248backed Yes | 1c | 5,085$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 1c | 4,719$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked Yes | 2c | 4,520$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e4…99d5backed Yes | 1c | 4,236$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,199$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…9fc8backed Yes | 1c | 3,764$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 3,743$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d6…710fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,564$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…c91ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf2…e31cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…a7a1backed Yes | 0c | 3,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df9…3a84backed Yes | 1c | 2,623$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4b…df5abacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…a945backed Yes | 1c | 2,323$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 2c | 2,232$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,127$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa653…444ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed16…916ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,907$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…b52fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,905$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0231…f609backed Yes | 1c | 1,795$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…e4adbacked Yes | 2c | 1,755$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca27…3e62backed Yes | 1c | 1,743$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Yes | 2c | 1,415$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…2ef3backed Yes | 2c | 1,312$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…05d0backed Yes | 1c | 1,302$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38f…ea43backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 1c | 1,019$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…ea90backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eae…4710backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 995$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…a19abacked Yes | 1c | 950$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…bb1ebacked Yes | 1c | 950$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb099…3560backed Yes | 3c | 903.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9836…23cbbacked Yes | 2c | 901.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95a9backed Yes | 1c | 782.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 2c | 704.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1363…5748backed Yes | 2c | 676.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef9…cb4dbacked Yes | 2c | 627.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Yes | 2c | 559.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d04…8859backed Yes | 4c | 540.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?this page
- Will Akron win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Auburn win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Cal Baptist win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Clemson win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Creighton win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Furman win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Georgia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Hawaii win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will High Point win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Hofstra win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Howard win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Idaho win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kennesaw State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kentucky win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will LIU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Lehigh win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Louisville win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will McNeese win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Miami (FL) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Miami (OH) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes won
- Will Missouri win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will NC State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Nebraska win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will North Carolina win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will North Dakota State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Northern Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Ohio State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Penn win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Prairie View A&M win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Queens win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will SMU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Saint Louis win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Santa Clara win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Siena win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will South Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will St. Mary's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will TCU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Tennessee State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas A&M win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas Tech win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Troy win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.