Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95d2ec9ba6b845345b7a1113817085e6e76ffb9846d0366df9846be4c844dbcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,575,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,143,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,575,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 895 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 5c | 187,582$10,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,123.29 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 5c | 102,635$4,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,734.97 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 5c | 44,916$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd658…ecadbacked Yes | 6c | 35,250$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 4c | 24,935$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.13 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 5c | 20,305$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.8 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 4c | 18,408$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.13 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 4c | 13,950$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.8 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes | 4c | 13,556$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.46 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…d829backed Yes | 5c | 12,799$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.57 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 5c | 12,575$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.15 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 12,145$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.78 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes | 4c | 11,641$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.81 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…5cc2backed Yes | 5c | 10,717$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd12…fa82backed Yes | 4c | 10,660$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…6ffebacked Yes | 4c | 10,141$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.43 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Yes | 4c | 10,080$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 5c | 10,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…16eabacked Yes | 6c | 8,996$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11eb…9546backed Yes | 6c | 8,553$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a403backed Yes | 5c | 8,352$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 4c | 7,525$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.49 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 7,322$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.66 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 4c | 7,020$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.19 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Yes | 5c | 6,276$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.7 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…b05ebacked Yes | 5c | 5,859$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…b4f5backed Yes | 5c | 5,846$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Yes | 5c | 5,560$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.2 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 5c | 5,488$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.71 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c2…0114backed Yes | 4c | 5,361$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b2…e861backed Yes | 5c | 5,287$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x369b…ad6dbacked Yes | 6c | 5,257$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d25…81eebacked Yes | 5c | 5,246$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.77 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 5c | 5,063$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.96 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…4452backed Yes | 6c | 4,866$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…4b72backed Yes | 5c | 4,732$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf799…6f8fbacked Yes | 6c | 4,534$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc1…d269backed Yes | 4c | 4,359$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…012ebacked Yes | 6c | 4,195$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05cf…c066backed Yes | 5c | 4,182$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…0bf8backed Yes | 4c | 4,180$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba3…c20dbacked Yes | 4c | 4,126$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c7…bf54backed Yes | 4c | 4,066$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d5…4295backed Yes | 6c | 3,856$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…b22bbacked Yes | 4c | 3,829$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.67 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5396…84e3backed Yes | 4c | 3,721$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x971b…8c50backed Yes | 3c | 3,636$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…a758backed Yes | 3c | 3,600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…56aebacked Yes | 6c | 3,566$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3efd…b982backed Yes | 4c | 3,453$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced9…ff9dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,361$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…544abacked Yes | 6c | 3,349$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…4f07backed Yes | 3c | 3,304$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Yes | 5c | 3,213$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.55 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b91…6831backed Yes | 4c | 3,194$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a17…b1a9backed Yes | 3c | 3,169$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…575bbacked Yes | 4c | 3,094$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…0bdcbacked Yes | 5c | 3,023$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e4…7f5fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,925$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…d345backed Yes | 4c | 2,893$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.03 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe5…fcb7backed Yes | 4c | 2,886$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02db…46f5backed Yes | 5c | 2,859$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 2,846$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.26 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d1…4b63backed Yes | 5c | 2,832$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1c…3694backed Yes | 3c | 2,827$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…dc8cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,782$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a19…21cebacked Yes | 6c | 2,754$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 4c | 2,663$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…e09bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,654$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…6a44backed Yes | 4c | 2,634$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes | 5c | 2,626$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…b302backed Yes | 3c | 2,626$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bf…4b29backed Yes | 4c | 2,617$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6464…23e3backed Yes | 6c | 2,600$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7290…b6c7backed Yes | 4c | 2,594$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…1933backed Yes | 6c | 2,592$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe204…0ca8backed Yes | 5c | 2,591$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…2681backed Yes | 3c | 2,578$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cd…df48backed Yes | 6c | 2,544$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8524…0d86backed Yes | 6c | 2,531$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…eee4backed Yes | 6c | 2,527$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed Yes | 3c | 2,462$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.31 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,283$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.57 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…7f83backed Yes | 3c | 2,275$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…9822backed Yes | 4c | 2,273$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…1edabacked Yes | 6c | 2,267$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a8…549abacked Yes | 6c | 2,267$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af2…6341backed Yes | 6c | 2,260$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,250$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…9057backed Yes | 5c | 2,235$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…6468backed Yes | 6c | 2,230$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 5c | 2,230$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.82 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…ffbabacked Yes | 4c | 2,228$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…3b2ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,226$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…433ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,226$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…3eacbacked Yes | 3c | 2,224$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ba…275ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,219$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3401…e981backed Yes | 4c | 2,200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec4…e5a3backed Yes | 4c | 2,200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?this page
- Will Akron win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Auburn win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Cal Baptist win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Clemson win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Creighton win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Furman win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Georgia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Hawaii win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will High Point win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Hofstra win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Howard win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Idaho win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kennesaw State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kentucky win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will LIU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Lehigh win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Louisville win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will McNeese win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Miami (FL) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Miami (OH) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes won
- Will Missouri win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will NC State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Nebraska win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will North Carolina win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will North Dakota State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Northern Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Ohio State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Penn win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Prairie View A&M win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Queens win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will SMU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Saint Louis win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Santa Clara win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Siena win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will South Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will St. Mary's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will TCU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Tennessee State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas A&M win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas Tech win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Troy win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.