TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,469

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,469 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xae0f…f647backed Yes0c59,902$180 inLost-$179.714746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Yes0c49,226$218 inLost-$217.588145.7%37 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x646b…5112backed Yes0c39,216$180 inLost-$180.37382.6%1 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-83.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes0c38,961$118 inLost-$117.86822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-88.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6b…3ba7backed Yes0c29,317$104 inLost-$103.7850%4 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Yes1c24,345$150 inLost-$15017122.8%39 W · 132 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Yes1c22,600$169 inLost-$169.484055%22 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c18,752$78 inLost-$78.16230%0 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaf35…3fe7backed Yes1c10,000$100 inLost-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba92…babfbacked Yes1c9,021$85 inLost-$851225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-56.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes0c7,888$16 inLost-$15.7890645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab0d…6ddfbacked Yes0c5,190$16 inLost-$15.572548%12 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff75…b615backed Yes0c5,000$15 inLost-$153542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0706…6ffebacked Yes0c5,000$15 inLost-$154015%6 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-59.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes0c4,470$12 inLost-$12.093420.6%7 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Yes1c4,162$23 inLost-$23270%0 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Yes1c4,000$20 inLost-$2030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes0c3,767$17 inLost-$17.067626.3%20 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x891d…b19fbacked Yes1c3,292$35 inLost-$34.52339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes0c3,285$15 inLost-$15.46130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes0c3,200$10 inLost-$10.3470%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x292b…bf0ebacked Yes0c2,829$14 inLost-$14.09480%0 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x364b…f9bebacked Yes2c2,800$54 inLost-$53.6210%0 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Yes1c2,629$26 inLost-$25.5216436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Yes1c2,526$17 inLost-$17.223447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Yes1c2,525$19 inLost-$19.53946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35f4…71cbbacked Yes0c2,500$10 inLost-$1050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c2,229$20 inLost-$20.4929012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae9…5b36backed Yes1c2,121$11 inLost-$11.475141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes1c2,063$15 inLost-$15.088230.5%25 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-30.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3548…14dabacked Yes1c2,000$10 inLost-$102025%5 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-52.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0d7…4355backed Yes2c1,588$30 inLost-$301216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Yes1c1,579$11 inLost-$10.938254.9%45 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Yes1c1,464$12 inLost-$11.774146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300d…978fbacked Yes1c1,401$15 inLost-$15.153641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd12a…46a3backed Yes1c1,249$11 inLost-$112222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-55.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4345…03cdbacked Yes1c1,160$12 inLost-$11.620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3506…4815backed Yes4c394$16 inLost-$15.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.