TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab0d…6ddf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Mls, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.07
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+385.7%+$272.72
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.38
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.92
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.15
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$43.84
Liberty Flames vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.56
Dayton Flyers vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.37
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.58
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.35
Will BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.76
UIC Flames vs. California Golden Bearsbacked UIC Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$14.47
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Seattle Redhawksbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.62
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.6
UNCW Seahawks vs. Yale Bulldogsbacked UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$27.69
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked Utah Valley Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.76
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsbacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.16
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. New Mexico State Aggiesbacked New Mexico State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+44.6%+$13.29
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Florida International Golden Panthersbacked Florida International Golden Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$31.33
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-42.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$17.03
Trail Blazers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Myles Turner: Points O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.21
Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 19.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.41
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.18
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.63
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.75
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.54
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.