Mls · resolved market
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95029c4bdea72aaa82b586bc1b930b9b12ac983ccb095aa9dfb7266f98bac12e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,906 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 34c | 47,478$16,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,261.9 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 41,621$27,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,205.44 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 10,891$6,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910.99 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 36c | 7,564$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 64c | 5,093$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.01 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 38c | 4,270$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.2 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 2,470$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.33 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 34c | 2,206$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yes | 57c | 1,756$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 39c | 1,599$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.85 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 39c | 1,525$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 65c | 1,180$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 67c | 1,131$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.11 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 1,089$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.87 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 35c | 1,051$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.92 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Yes | 38c | 1,008$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 40c | 948$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.29 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 33c | 917$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.05 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes | 39c | 846.15$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 27c | 844.5$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 63c | 699.99$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.39 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 64c | 689$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 63c | 675.25$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.42 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 59c | 627.79$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.47 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 67c | 592.9$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.9 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 67c | 547$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 32c | 526.54$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.95 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 61c | 513$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.07 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 61c | 469.89$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.94 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed No | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 67c | 380.87$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.28 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3933…4afabacked No | 67c | 348$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 64c | 345.09$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.9 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 65c | 329.88$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.01 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 61c | 312.96$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 66c | 306.43$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked No | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 278.58$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.55 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 62c | 242.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 66c | 211$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.79 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 67c | 207.66$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 28c | 184$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 69c | 181.89$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 38c | 171.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +67%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Yes | 32c | 166.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 61c | 164.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 68c | 154.56$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -7.7wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 63c | 151$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8032…b106backed Yes | 37c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 146.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22b3…dcafbacked Yes | 34c | 142.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1779…2305backed Yes | 37c | 135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb13…a06abacked Yes | 37c | 133$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b11…75e3backed Yes | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 128.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…a434backed No | 64c | 126.73$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked No | 63c | 116$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yes | 37c | 115$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 62c | 112.04$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 67c | 111.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f34…1022backed Yes | 37c | 111$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked No | 67c | 109$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed No | 67c | 109$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked No | 64c | 103$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked No | 64c | 102.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 37c | 102.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 35c | 99.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked No | 69c | 88.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa9…5da8backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Yes | 33c | 76.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…44b5backed No | 64c | 71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked No | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 68c | 66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…c9ecbacked No | 63c | 61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 70c | 56.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ab3dbacked No | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 31c | 52.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Yes | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 36c | 48.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…a7f2backed No | 63c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Minnesota United FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.