Mls · resolved market
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x840bab2a0bc063d6586810bb06f97f80ca1a66b8ab2cfb9e90042102bc05dc40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $711,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $725,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $711,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 47c | 235,034$110,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,402.34 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 54c | 122,297$65,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,714.93 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 47c | 78,301$36,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,730.12 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 47c | 60,845$28,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,597.22 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 53c | 60,000$31,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed Yes | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,499.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 53c | 42,681$22,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,228.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 53c | 35,259$18,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,405.38 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed No | 57c | 24,314$13,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,456.05 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 23,399$12,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,525.16 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 53c | 21,737$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,237.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 53c | 21,500$11,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,133.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 44c | 21,462$9,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,350.03 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 48c | 19,000$9,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,039.98 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 53c | 18,391$9,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,697.84 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Yes | 48c | 12,514$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 12,159$6,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,715.51 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 53c | 12,040$6,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,658.8 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 53c | 11,749$6,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,521.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed No | 53c | 11,628$6,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,464.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 11,478$6,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,307.12 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 53c | 11,000$5,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,170 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 48c | 9,265$4,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,441.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 47c | 9,048$4,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,253.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 53c | 7,396$3,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,487.68 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 54c | 7,360$3,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370.91 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 57c | 6,853$3,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,946.58 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 5,933$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.44 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 53c | 5,488$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.28 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 44c | 4,617$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.48 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 52c | 3,808$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.98 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Yes | 1c | 2,929$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed No | 57c | 2,631$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.33 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 53c | 2,475$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.16 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 1,432$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.57 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 54c | 1,217$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.65 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed No | 53c | 943.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 46c | 845.65$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.22 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 57c | 837.56$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.32 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…b087backed Yes | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 54c | 801$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.56 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89a…0e3dbacked Yes | 47c | 752.99$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…b190backed Yes | 41c | 733.66$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed No | 53c | 686.79$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed No | 53c | 686$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 57c | 679.07$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 62c | 559.57$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.84 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed No | 56c | 550.76$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Yes | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed No | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked No | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 41c | 482$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 43c | 468.41$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 54c | 467$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 55c | 438.36$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc99…23f7backed Yes | 46c | 435.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…df73backed No | 53c | 425.29$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Yes | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 46c | 379.98$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.59 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed No | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 54c | 346.18$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.99 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 45c | 329.53$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.33 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 39c | 327.54$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.22 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 58c | 304$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.13 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 64c | 298$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.28 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 54c | 292.64$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.45 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 54c | 292.45$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.36 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 53c | 289.25$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.2 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed No | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 63c | 276.36$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked No | 53c | 270$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 47c | 251.85$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.59 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…1df7backed Yes | 41c | 244.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 57c | 225$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 69c | 222.35$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed No | 55c | 220.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 43c | 206.12$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 43c | 203$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.52 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 55c | 201.78$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…8af4backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…e826backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…77dfbacked Yes | 43c | 185.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked No | 53c | 185.2$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…ca20backed Yes | 28c | 181$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.