Mls · resolved market
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e5588691e97207b93b049a6da8e515f6ffdb35fe2773d4a91e2054fbb321522
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,574 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 50c | 17,753$8,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,888.56 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 53c | 8,455$4,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,452.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 72c | 4,578$3,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,296.24 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 10c | 4,425$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.75 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 31c | 3,528$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.05 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…f879backed No | 45c | 2,221$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 46c | 2,065$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.91 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 1c | 1,984$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 56c | 1,574$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.39 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 67c | 1,501$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.45 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.73 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Yes | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 46c | 893.48$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed No | 72c | 750$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed No | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 68c | 600$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545f…66dbbacked No | 8c | 582.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 581$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.38 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 573.22$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.89 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 59c | 522.55$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.13 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 32c | 487.18$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.79 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 33c | 454.91$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.77 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 57c | 374.36$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.56 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 49c | 373.4$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.14 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 346$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.74 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 38c | 344.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.63 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 53c | 328.02$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 31c | 305.65$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.9 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 32c | 303.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.45 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fb…ebeebacked Yes | 34c | 294$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Yes | 69c | 249.85$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.31 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 28c | 249$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 37c | 245$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.71 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 67c | 215$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.25 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 49c | 213.16$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.13 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 28c | 209.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.24 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 33c | 205$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 167.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.67 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 33c | 162.55$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Yes | 30c | 156.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.69 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3f…a5b2backed Yes | 31c | 155.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 66c | 149.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed No | 44c | 144.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 65c | 144$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 73c | 142.26$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…0091backed Yes | 34c | 141$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 27c | 139$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac1…d5c4backed No | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 31c | 127$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed No | 27c | 123$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 38c | 121.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…66d8backed Yes | 34c | 116$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f0…be4ebacked Yes | 34c | 114$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…ca20backed No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca18…3e45backed Yes | 34c | 107$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d4…23cfbacked Yes | 34c | 105$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 28c | 101.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…af5dbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 31c | 98.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.73 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Yes | 49c | 92.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…ea77backed No | 70c | 92.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48c…d7cdbacked No | 70c | 90$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 61c | 89.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…6894backed No | 73c | 89.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dde…e011backed Yes | 56c | 82.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 29c | 76.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbae…fbb5backed No | 67c | 70$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…ad54backed Yes | 55c | 66.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6398…0485backed No | 70c | 65.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 66c | 63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No | 69c | 61.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 47c | 58.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7347…9089backed No | 67c | 58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 36c | 57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…afabbacked Yes | 38c | 56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…3b59backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c85…f14ebacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 68c | 46.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed No | 69c | 46.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 32c | 46.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked Yes | 50c | 44.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed1…4d3bbacked No | 67c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f4…95f0backed No | 67c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 31c | 43.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…b0e7backed No | 67c | 42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed No | 51c | 41.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb15a…2149backed No | 67c | 41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?No won
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.