Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Sam Houston Bearkats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a391f36c6d36a350579264cccb9590845f98d7c4b8da658d7d3a476f7fe1fe7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sam Houston Bearkatsof New Mexico State Aggies, Sam Houston Bearkats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,727 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 64c | 2,742$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.09 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New Mexico State Aggies | 14c | 2,635$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.33 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 64c | 2,576$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.36 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 22c | 2,303$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.45 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked New Mexico State Aggies | 36c | 2,171$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.44 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked New Mexico State Aggies | 24c | 1,266$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.1 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed New Mexico State Aggies | 35c | 1,223$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.19 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed New Mexico State Aggies | 10c | 647.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 63c | 624.86$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.2 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 15c | 555.54$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked New Mexico State Aggies | 22c | 499.45$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New Mexico State Aggies | 16c | 495.71$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed New Mexico State Aggies | 38c | 417.58$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.68 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed New Mexico State Aggies | 36c | 332.29$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed New Mexico State Aggies | 13c | 266.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 38c | 260.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 63c | 158$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 64c | 154.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 68c | 145.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 22c | 135.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed New Mexico State Aggies | 14c | 117.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed New Mexico State Aggies | 16c | 113.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…4cf7backed New Mexico State Aggies | 24c | 110.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked New Mexico State Aggies | 37c | 99.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed New Mexico State Aggies | 36c | 92.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 79c | 89.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed New Mexico State Aggies | 36c | 82.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 64c | 75.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed New Mexico State Aggies | 36c | 58.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed New Mexico State Aggies | 38c | 52.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 38c | 52.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed New Mexico State Aggies | 38c | 52.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked New Mexico State Aggies | 37c | 48.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 25c | 48.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3288…13d4backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 64c | 45.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…dd4fbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed New Mexico State Aggies | 36c | 37.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked New Mexico State Aggies | 36c | 37.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab0d…6ddfbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 63c | 28.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 79c | 21.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Mexico State Aggies vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsthis page
- New Mexico State Aggies vs. Sam Houston Bearkats: O/U 153.5Under won
- New Mexico State Aggies vs. Sam Houston Bearkats: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: Sam Houston Bearkats (-4.5)Sam Houston Bearkats won
- Spread: Sam Houston Bearkats (-5.5)Sam Houston Bearkats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.