Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeddc3e9cace967e0e2cb3173a83c3f9a06ef2394e2d7750eca82e006588b22b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duke Blue Devilsof Virginia Cavaliers, Duke Blue Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,480 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Virginia Cavaliers | 26c | 22,814$5,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,907.67 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Virginia Cavaliers | 27c | 15,908$4,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,225.81 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Duke Blue Devils | 74c | 8,443$6,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Duke Blue Devils | 74c | 7,557$5,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.51 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Duke Blue Devils | 73c | 5,039$3,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.4 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Duke Blue Devils | 74c | 4,641$3,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.54 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Virginia Cavaliers | 28c | 4,193$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.01 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Virginia Cavaliers | 28c | 4,176$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.65 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Virginia Cavaliers | 31c | 4,001$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.73 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Duke Blue Devils | 73c | 3,500$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.99 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Duke Blue Devils | 77c | 3,477$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.25 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Virginia Cavaliers | 26c | 3,387$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.66 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Virginia Cavaliers | 30c | 3,385$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.47 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 73c | 3,333$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.91 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Duke Blue Devils | 72c | 3,309$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.57 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Duke Blue Devils | 74c | 3,023$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.75 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Virginia Cavaliers | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Duke Blue Devils | 71c | 2,936$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.94 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Duke Blue Devils | 72c | 2,842$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.11 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Duke Blue Devils | 73c | 2,815$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.11 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Duke Blue Devils | 74c | 2,416$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.17 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Duke Blue Devils | 62c | 2,394$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.08 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Duke Blue Devils | 73c | 2,249$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.74 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf6…d7f7backed Duke Blue Devils | 74c | 2,012$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.05 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 27c | 1,999$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…737ebacked Duke Blue Devils | 73c | 1,967$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.74 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Duke Blue Devils | 73c | 1,857$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.07 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…bc01backed Duke Blue Devils | 75c | 1,855$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.65 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Duke Blue Devils | 76c | 1,776$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.64 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc04…1c43backed Duke Blue Devils | 77c | 1,694$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.48 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Virginia Cavaliers | 27c | 1,569$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.66 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Virginia Cavaliers | 28c | 1,511$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.05 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…7135backed Virginia Cavaliers | 35c | 1,506$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.71 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Duke Blue Devils | 74c | 1,482$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.61 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e4…b96fbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 27c | 1,471$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.28 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…85b5backed Duke Blue Devils | 68c | 1,405$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.07 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…54a7backed Duke Blue Devils | 74c | 1,343$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.14 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…dd3bbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 47c | 1,268$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…fa8ebacked Duke Blue Devils | 74c | 1,212$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 31c | 1,197$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.13 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Virginia Cavaliers | 26c | 1,187$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.72 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Duke Blue Devils | 75c | 1,139$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.38 | 253 | 37.5%95 W · 158 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Duke Blue Devils | 73c | 1,016$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.38 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Virginia Cavaliers | 34c | 935.07$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.17 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Virginia Cavaliers | 29c | 815.22$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.36 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fc…adbabacked Virginia Cavaliers | 33c | 752.65$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Virginia Cavaliers | 31c | 701.85$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.35 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Virginia Cavaliers | 27c | 685.24$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.01 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Duke Blue Devils | 59c | 664.08$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.32 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 38c | 660.71$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.95 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…bcabbacked Duke Blue Devils | 75c | 658.35$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Virginia Cavaliers | 30c | 640.73$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.57 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Virginia Cavaliers | 28c | 625.36$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.77 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virginia Cavaliers | 34c | 620.08$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.95 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Duke Blue Devils | 68c | 599.53$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.61 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Duke Blue Devils | 67c | 599.15$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.65 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Duke Blue Devils | 65c | 599.07$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…648fbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 29c | 590.73$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.42 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virginia Cavaliers | 28c | 553.74$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.05 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Duke Blue Devils | 74c | 533.38$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.68 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Duke Blue Devils | 74c | 496.63$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.12 | 78 | 71.8%56 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Duke Blue Devils | 68c | 472.61$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Duke Blue Devils | 70c | 463.87$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.41 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…d2f6backed Virginia Cavaliers | 11c | 398.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…cfeebacked Duke Blue Devils | 75c | 397.51$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Virginia Cavaliers | 27c | 397.24$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Duke Blue Devils | 68c | 381.59$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.98 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed Virginia Cavaliers | 28c | 374.34$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd350…8ae8backed Duke Blue Devils | 53c | 374.07$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.81 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Virginia Cavaliers | 27c | 367.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4684…3944backed Virginia Cavaliers | 23c | 348.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Duke Blue Devils | 73c | 346.86$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Virginia Cavaliers | 35c | 343.05$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.07 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…4638backed Duke Blue Devils | 68c | 342.78$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.11 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Virginia Cavaliers | 28c | 323.18$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.54 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Duke Blue Devils | 67c | 317.44$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Duke Blue Devils | 70c | 304.89$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.32 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Duke Blue Devils | 67c | 299.21$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Virginia Cavaliers | 37c | 297.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27bf…fa14backed Virginia Cavaliers | 18c | 293.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Virginia Cavaliers | 26c | 293.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Duke Blue Devils | 67c | 290.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…80ebbacked Duke Blue Devils | 69c | 287.69$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Duke Blue Devils | 74c | 283.33$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Virginia Cavaliers | 36c | 276.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Duke Blue Devils | 71c | 271.31$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.46 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedd…7605backed Virginia Cavaliers | 37c | 270.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Duke Blue Devils | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Duke Blue Devils | 74c | 268.45$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Virginia Cavaliers | 27c | 247.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 244 | 32%78 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Virginia Cavaliers | 23c | 244.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Duke Blue Devils | 54c | 238.96$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.81 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 28c | 230.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Virginia Cavaliers | 36c | 216.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 25c | 206.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 39c | 201.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Virginia Cavaliers | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Virginia Cavaliers | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Duke Blue Devils | 67c | 198.45$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 273 | 58.6%160 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…8afbbacked Duke Blue Devils | 67c | 198.45$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devilsthis page
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-2.5)Duke Blue Devils won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)Virginia Cavaliers won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)Virginia Cavaliers won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-7.5)Virginia Cavaliers won
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-8.5)Virginia Cavaliers won
- Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5Over won
- Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5Over won
- Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 143.5Over won
- Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 144.5Under won
- Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 145.5Under won
- Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 146.5Under won
- Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 147.5Under won
- Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 148.5Under won
- Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 152.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.