UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8809ba9bc63d7f71076931a43e8b02661cf298ff5ac18fb0fe0d74b167fb45c

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nathaniel Woodof Nathaniel Wood, Losene Keita
Resolved: Mar 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $583,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $583,006 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 399 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Losene Keita	70c	103,876$72,565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72,564.55	162	44.4%72 W · 90 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7966…6f94backed Nathaniel Wood	31c	75,348$23,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,333.77	72	38.9%28 W · 44 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Losene Keita	72c	44,764$32,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,230.09	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.72per pick	72cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Losene Keita	72c	43,013$30,862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,861.91	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Nathaniel Wood	28c	31,215$8,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,495.69	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Nathaniel Wood	28c	30,000$8,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,600	76	56.6%43 W · 33 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Nathaniel Wood	69c	22,739$15,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,029.35	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Losene Keita	72c	19,231$13,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,779.72	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Nathaniel Wood	28c	18,839$5,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,563.98	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Losene Keita	73c	18,000$13,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,139.99	115	54.8%63 W · 52 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Nathaniel Wood	31c	16,076$5,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,018.99	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3846…9742backed Losene Keita	73c	15,000$10,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,949.99	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.15per pick	65cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Nathaniel Wood	27c	14,960$4,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,920.8	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Nathaniel Wood	27c	10,527$2,842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,685.07	145	51%74 W · 71 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Nathaniel Wood	31c	10,213$3,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,047.01	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.36per pick	44cpaid	+84.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Nathaniel Wood	29c	10,189$2,951 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,238.22	267	43.8%117 W · 150 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Nathaniel Wood	45c	10,188$4,609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,578.61	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Losene Keita	72c	10,000$7,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,199.96	105	42.9%45 W · 60 L	-8.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed Nathaniel Wood	30c	9,575$2,829 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,746.13	55	40%22 W · 33 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nathaniel Wood	27c	8,999$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,549.16	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Losene Keita	73c	8,337$6,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,086	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Nathaniel Wood	28c	8,080$2,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,817.6	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Losene Keita	53c	7,459$3,942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,941.72	159	39.6%63 W · 96 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Losene Keita	18c	7,015$1,244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,243.99	209	54.1%113 W · 96 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Losene Keita	1c	5,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf05c…66b9backed Losene Keita	1c	5,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31b6…2d92backed Nathaniel Wood	34c	5,000$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,300	91	41.8%38 W · 53 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Losene Keita	66c	4,961$3,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,274.3	68	50%34 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Nathaniel Wood	33c	4,906$1,619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,286.97	84	34.5%29 W · 55 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Losene Keita	71c	4,815$3,419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,418.74	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.9wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Nathaniel Wood	28c	4,322$1,210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,111.56	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.30per pick	45cpaid	+62.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe853…75a8backed Nathaniel Wood	28c	4,150$1,162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,988	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.31per pick	44cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9948…47e7backed Nathaniel Wood	28c	3,571$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,571.43	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Losene Keita	60c	3,567$2,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,140	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.9wins	-0.32per pick	65cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Losene Keita	70c	3,500$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,450	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Nathaniel Wood	50c	3,500$1,735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,765.08	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe501…5c4fbacked Nathaniel Wood	28c	3,273$916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,356.56	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.72per pick	28cpaid	+257.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd251…db86backed Nathaniel Wood	48c	3,126$1,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,616.2	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Nathaniel Wood	28c	3,000$840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,160	202	33.7%68 W · 134 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f4b…bb93backed Losene Keita	63c	3,000$1,901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,901.12	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed Losene Keita	73c	3,000$2,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,190	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.73per pick	73cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63cc…1649backed Losene Keita	61c	2,993$1,839 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,838.57	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nathaniel Wood	35c	2,993$1,044 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,949.02	331	32%106 W · 225 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x661b…17babacked Losene Keita	67c	2,985$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Nathaniel Wood	40c	2,918$1,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,750.88	105	46.7%49 W · 56 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Losene Keita	53c	2,903$1,526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,526.09	224	38.4%86 W · 138 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Nathaniel Wood	28c	2,679$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,928.57	128	33.6%43 W · 85 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Losene Keita	70c	2,600$1,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,820	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Nathaniel Wood	27c	2,593$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,892.59	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.19per pick	41cpaid	+46.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c31…5240backed Nathaniel Wood	28c	2,121$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,521.43	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Losene Keita	67c	2,042$1,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,375.53	87	54%47 W · 40 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Nathaniel Wood	28c	2,000$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,440	130	39.2%51 W · 79 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Losene Keita	65c	1,967$1,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,288.17	167	45.5%76 W · 91 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d22…ec35backed Losene Keita	59c	1,878$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100.04	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Losene Keita	55c	1,802$982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$982.27	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0506…8c6abacked Nathaniel Wood	45c	1,761$784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$976.29	167	46.1%77 W · 90 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Nathaniel Wood	44c	1,607$707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$899.91	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Nathaniel Wood	30c	1,597$476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,121.32	180	38.9%70 W · 110 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Losene Keita	70c	1,577$1,104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,103.6	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Losene Keita	57c	1,540$879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$878.65	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Losene Keita	1c	1,500$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	1cpaid	+327.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Nathaniel Wood	28c	1,500$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,080	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Nathaniel Wood	30c	1,450$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,015	91	47.3%43 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Losene Keita	52c	1,437$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$753.34	201	39.8%80 W · 121 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Losene Keita	71c	1,314$933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$932.78	267	36%96 W · 171 L	-16.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a36…dedabacked Nathaniel Wood	28c	1,286$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$925.71	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Losene Keita	56c	1,222$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.51	149	29.5%44 W · 105 L	-15.2wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x59c8…de83backed Nathaniel Wood	47c	1,207$567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.71	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.22per pick	58cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x353e…9db2backed Nathaniel Wood	28c	1,166$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$843.86	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+81%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Nathaniel Wood	39c	1,144$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$696.25	208	37%77 W · 131 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Nathaniel Wood	49c	1,092$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$556.34	377	54.6%206 W · 171 L	+19.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Nathaniel Wood	28c	1,071$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$771.43	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2e6…22f4backed Losene Keita	47c	1,041$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Losene Keita	1c	1,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Losene Keita	1c	1,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Losene Keita	72c	1,000$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Losene Keita	1c	1,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Losene Keita	1c	1,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed Nathaniel Wood	32c	999.98$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$679.99	88	35.2%31 W · 57 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Nathaniel Wood	39c	972.08$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$590.08	125	57.6%72 W · 53 L	+11.9wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Losene Keita	55c	962.22$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.45	356	48.6%173 W · 183 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Nathaniel Wood	39c	949.99$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576.49	263	52.1%137 W · 126 L	+23.0wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2aab…9ae0backed Nathaniel Wood	31c	922.42$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.47	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3f8…503abacked Nathaniel Wood	34c	880$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$580.8	94	59.6%56 W · 38 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nathaniel Wood	30c	870.66$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$608.7	88	48.9%43 W · 45 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Losene Keita	50c	840.6$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.44	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…737ebacked Losene Keita	71c	821.13$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.71per pick	71cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Nathaniel Wood	35c	814.5$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528.5	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb986…d032backed Losene Keita	71c	802.82$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.31per pick	45cpaid	-78%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Nathaniel Wood	27c	781.84$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570.74	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed Nathaniel Wood	28c	709.99$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.69	139	40.3%56 W · 83 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ee…47c8backed Nathaniel Wood	28c	700$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+2.4wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Losene Keita	65c	699.99$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3577…0e8cbacked Losene Keita	70c	671.43$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Nathaniel Wood	31c	653.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.83	109	61.5%67 W · 42 L	+8.2wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed Nathaniel Wood	27c	652.8$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$476.54	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-10.9wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Nathaniel Wood	28c	643$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$462.96	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab2e…c7cfbacked Losene Keita	73c	635.62$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-4.0wins	-0.23per pick	71cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Losene Keita	72c	609.99$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.79	366	55.2%202 W · 164 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa32…e0dabacked Losene Keita	69c	583.1$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
Will Losene Keita win by KO or TKO?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event