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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$631,409

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $631,409 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0094…c496backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a3…ee24backed Yes8c61,611$4,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,990.37825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Yes10c28,332$2,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,918.9727851.1%142 W · 136 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes9c21,263$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.125536.4%20 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Yes10c19,929$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.9112251.6%63 W · 59 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes10c19,824$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.752055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes9c19,020$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.213420.6%7 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3b…2eb3backed Yes10c16,654$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.211435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-38.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes9c15,500$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.7942934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes9c11,518$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.9237835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x839f…8639backed Yes9c11,049$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes9c10,312$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.348230.5%25 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-30.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67f9…d241backed Yes8c10,099$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.4120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes9c9,320$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.44147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-63.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e4…b7aebacked Yes10c7,826$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.74150%0 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes10c7,784$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.0290645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes10c7,035$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.541,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes9c6,171$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.317626.3%20 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742c…acc0backed Yes3c5,924$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.31425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-67.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x533c…2658backed Yes12c5,341$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.441216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-67%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f62…e744backed Yes10c5,294$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.69933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4a0…bc3cbacked Yes11c4,611$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d6…8d67backed Yes11c4,579$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca6e…ce7abacked Yes10c4,300$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Yes12c4,245$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4957839.7%31 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes9c4,050$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.416721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6fb…8a6bbacked Yes10c4,001$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46ec…3db5backed Yes6c4,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Yes10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes10c3,922$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.05214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-60.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e02…b1c5backed Yes10c3,403$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f4…a165backed Yes9c3,360$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x369b…ad6dbacked Yes9c3,306$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0706…6ffebacked Yes10c3,215$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.744015%6 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-59.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb9…cd6fbacked Yes8c3,149$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Yes9c3,000$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.316445.1%74 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa22f…cd64backed Yes10c2,882$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed Yes9c2,695$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.632729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes10c2,464$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.248232.9%27 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Yes6c2,354$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2322645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe06d…115bbacked Yes10c2,315$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes9c2,265$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.07120%0 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Yes10c2,249$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.681030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7926…0f10backed Yes11c2,236$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbc…5196backed Yes10c2,228$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x230c…d36fbacked Yes10c2,086$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes8c2,000$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Yes11c2,000$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…ff10backed Yes9c1,784$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.59911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-50.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce5…3e52backed Yes7c1,746$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Yes16c1,704$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfca…b655backed Yes10c1,671$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes10c1,611$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.25190%0 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Yes9c1,592$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-41.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes9c1,507$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.326336.5%23 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes9c1,499$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4511844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f10…c927backed Yes9c1,495$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.031127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee54…8189backed Yes9c1,471$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0750%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Yes7c1,452$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.971315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-69.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d1e…f563backed Yes9c1,450$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Yes7c1,411$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.774731.9%15 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes9c1,357$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0760551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes5c1,260$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2870%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Yes10c1,240$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.611850%59 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08e0…bfdfbacked Yes9c1,200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11080%0 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0233…499ebacked Yes9c1,183$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a89…a4d6backed Yes9c1,170$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.79714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…2f1abacked Yes10c1,152$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Yes9c1,137$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8039…575cbacked Yes10c1,115$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes10c1,100$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b9…08b3backed Yes9c1,067$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes12c1,065$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.55933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick22cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5815…4d68backed Yes9c1,053$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a8d…150bbacked Yes10c1,039$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab0d…6ddfbacked Yes14c1,004$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.922548%12 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62a…a8efbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Yes8c1,000$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836235.5%22 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x551d…4afebacked Yes10c999.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9750%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f21…b935backed Yes10c992.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Yes10c990$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb15e…7ee1backed Yes9c988$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3582…8fc6backed Yes10c979.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-67.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed Yes10c975.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb9…e983backed Yes10c968.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa496…9eccbacked Yes10c950.37$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.174344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7747…8f45backed Yes10c946.41$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6830%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d4c…cc45backed Yes10c935$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ac…8fc5backed Yes11c926.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007044.3%31 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9038…f74cbacked Yes11c901.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb29b…9e76backed Yes9c900$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f5…dab4backed Yes11c896.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6818…4286backed Yes11c880$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff6…4c3cbacked Yes11c880$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes8c872.1$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9771655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7eb…1d5dbacked Yes12c866.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f8d…6790backed Yes9c862.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754535.6%16 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes8c836.07$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.11128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-55.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecad…27cbbacked Yes7c819$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Yes10c800$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.61,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.