TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will North Carolina win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$227,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,427 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes0c166,179$333 inLost-$333.36822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-88.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes0c36,483$36 inLost-$36.4890645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Yes1c19,670$111 inLost-$110.52270%0 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x292b…bf0ebacked Yes0c12,847$26 inLost-$25.69480%0 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes2c12,600$190 inLost-$189.9825130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d45…d2afbacked Yes0c11,135$35 inLost-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes0c10,482$33 inLost-$32.578232.9%27 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51c3…c0dcbacked Yes0c6,000$15 inLost-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2bb…2e4abacked Yes0c5,333$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb71e…19a3backed Yes0c5,281$15 inLost-$1590%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa9…d3bebacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a62…8b90backed Yes0c4,444$13 inLost-$13.3360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Yes1c3,823$56 inLost-$56.1216436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c3,601$10 inLost-$10.05230%0 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2363…b496backed Yes0c3,595$11 inLost-$10.7980%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87fb…73debacked Yes0c3,353$10 inLost-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3995…f8d4backed Yes1c3,206$25 inLost-$24.7120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf2…7279backed Yes0c3,120$10 inLost-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick15cpaid-41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes1c2,750$18 inLost-$17.52714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-59.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7739…55c9backed Yes1c2,234$22 inLost-$22.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c2,226$26 inLost-$25.6129012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba4b…71b2backed Yes1c2,175$15 inLost-$15.2320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x364b…f9bebacked Yes1c2,154$14 inLost-$13.92210%0 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f0…023fbacked Yes1c2,153$22 inLost-$21.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f5…1481backed Yes1c2,151$22 inLost-$21.5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc9f…3a3fbacked Yes1c2,104$15 inLost-$14.7320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76a4…3213backed Yes1c2,103$15 inLost-$14.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b11…5568backed Yes6c2,048$122 inLost-$121.66333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0f5…950fbacked Yes1c2,018$14 inLost-$14.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x566f…2089backed Yes1c1,972$20 inLost-$19.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d7…3463backed Yes1c1,948$14 inLost-$13.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe04b…c716backed Yes1c1,935$14 inLost-$13.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf076…a736backed Yes1c1,914$19 inLost-$19.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf664…8679backed Yes1c1,904$13 inLost-$13.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c2a…c387backed Yes1c1,794$13 inLost-$13.0820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e5…a9f4backed Yes1c1,775$12 inLost-$12.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d5…8055backed Yes1c1,756$12 inLost-$12.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes1c1,630$17 inLost-$16.628230.5%25 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-30.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…4262backed Yes1c1,515$11 inLost-$10.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea07…02d9backed Yes1c1,497$10 inLost-$10.4820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7254…1eabbacked Yes1c1,478$10 inLost-$10.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b2…caaabacked Yes1c1,464$20 inLost-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507a…be1fbacked Yes2c904.8$20 inLost-$20.23147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-91%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37a6…8b04backed Yes2c848.68$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cf4…4c5abacked Yes1c782.28$10 inLost-$10.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.