TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will Miami (FL) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,280

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,280 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes0c115,541$216 inLost-$216.5822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-88.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67f9…d241backed Yes0c86,899$180 inLost-$179.82120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Yes0c45,937$100 inLost-$1002119%4 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-61.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c30,301$55 inLost-$54.616721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes0c29,900$30 inLost-$29.990645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7668…8a91backed Yes0c17,048$70 inLost-$701030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…ff10backed Yes0c16,264$65 inLost-$65.06911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-50.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bda…4974backed Yes0c13,000$13 inLost-$1350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…b6babacked Yes0c12,998$40 inLost-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x292b…bf0ebacked Yes0c10,380$21 inLost-$20.76480%0 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e4…b7aebacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost-$10150%0 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4df…e4f3backed Yes0c9,149$37 inLost-$36.591216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick11cpaid-46.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Yes0c6,500$13 inLost-$1336535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35f4…71cbbacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost-$1050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…7b83backed Yes0c5,000$13 inLost-$136720.9%14 W · 53 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-46.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c4,030$12 inLost-$12.09230%0 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd5b…8882backed Yes1c3,792$23 inLost-$23.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x144b…6caabacked Yes0c3,750$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c0e…1411backed Yes0c3,471$15 inLost-$14.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec6…15a6backed Yes0c3,400$10 inLost-$10.230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cf2…e31cbacked Yes0c2,500$10 inLost-$1070%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.