Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c07355b518ec81d7182027edb429cd2e203b1ad2a27ae8411f7bbc166e90578
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $890,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $531,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $890,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x646b…5112backed Yes | 2c | 36,258$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.31 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 2c | 32,589$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.42 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…85b9backed Yes | 3c | 31,059$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 2c | 28,728$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.08 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…41f8backed Yes | 3c | 23,228$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c69…52fdbacked Yes | 2c | 23,029$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 2c | 22,179$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.7 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 2c | 21,324$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.08 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 2c | 19,851$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.47 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde2…b8d7backed Yes | 2c | 19,649$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 1c | 17,672$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.43 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes | 2c | 15,000$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.44 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -7.2wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3d…0122backed Yes | 2c | 13,508$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Yes | 2c | 12,777$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.65 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Yes | 2c | 12,500$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.36 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…118dbacked Yes | 2c | 12,500$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8932…eb14backed Yes | 3c | 10,340$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.7 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…5502backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf6…d7f7backed Yes | 2c | 9,729$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Yes | 2c | 9,665$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…d1abbacked Yes | 2c | 8,886$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a6…a3b5backed Yes | 2c | 8,719$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes | 1c | 8,338$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 8,225$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Yes | 1c | 7,587$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -67%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f6…a384backed Yes | 2c | 7,366$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.53 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x364b…f9bebacked Yes | 1c | 7,246$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…c496backed Yes | 1c | 7,110$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.48 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…8253backed Yes | 2c | 6,948$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba92…babfbacked Yes | 2c | 6,769$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Yes | 2c | 6,553$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.82 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6140…332dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,246$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…27cfbacked Yes | 2c | 6,000$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 5,586$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.29 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…7e92backed Yes | 2c | 5,531$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.87 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316b…03c5backed Yes | 2c | 5,276$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Yes | 2c | 5,023$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeff…6fdfbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 0c | 4,857$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,831$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.92 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,377$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…978fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,235$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebd…700ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,012$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…b756backed Yes | 2c | 4,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,504$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…a329backed Yes | 2c | 3,333$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a0…bc3cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,303$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Yes | 2c | 3,250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 2c | 3,222$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 136 | 9.6%13 W · 123 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…51d1backed Yes | 7c | 3,129$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…d829backed Yes | 2c | 3,103$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed16…916ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,688$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 2c | 2,622$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2efc…5686backed Yes | 2c | 2,484$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b85…3dcbbacked Yes | 3c | 2,479$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,323$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 2,129$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13e…063cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,047$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Yes | 2c | 2,018$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4b…df5abacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 2c | 1,954$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,946$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…be37backed Yes | 2c | 1,840$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…2d9ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,791$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Yes | 1c | 1,750$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fa…c4d6backed Yes | 2c | 1,681$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319d…43a5backed Yes | 2c | 1,591$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 1,543$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…58ffbacked Yes | 2c | 1,521$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e9…d331backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1446…0a30backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ff…92ebbacked Yes | 2c | 1,456$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Yes | 2c | 1,429$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cc…2c44backed Yes | 2c | 1,415$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Yes | 2c | 1,389$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Yes | 2c | 1,378$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69a…3b90backed Yes | 2c | 1,352$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -73%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,316$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,300$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…39b0backed Yes | 2c | 1,272$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…8d38backed Yes | 3c | 1,272$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…af22backed Yes | 2c | 1,268$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…722ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,266$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…183abacked Yes | 2c | 1,207$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Yes | 2c | 1,202$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8033…4795backed Yes | 2c | 1,053$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1a…e5debacked Yes | 2c | 1,020$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Yes | 1c | 1,016$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…74c3backed Yes | 2c | 1,012$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde59…451fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -72%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…35b9backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…fe25backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x337d…6984backed Yes | 1c | 982$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 2c | 972.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5da0…2644backed Yes | 2c | 970.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…daebbacked Yes | 2c | 962.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?this page
- Will Akron win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Auburn win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Cal Baptist win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Clemson win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Creighton win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Furman win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Georgia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Hawaii win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will High Point win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Hofstra win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Howard win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Idaho win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kennesaw State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kentucky win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will LIU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Lehigh win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Louisville win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will McNeese win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Miami (FL) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Miami (OH) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes won
- Will Missouri win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will NC State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Nebraska win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will North Carolina win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will North Dakota State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Northern Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Ohio State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Penn win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Prairie View A&M win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Queens win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will SMU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Saint Louis win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Santa Clara win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Siena win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will South Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will St. Mary's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will TCU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Tennessee State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas A&M win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas Tech win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Troy win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.