TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd8cc…2c44

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
181
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT8055%44 W · 36 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+392.8%+$999.07
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.87
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.76
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.2
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.84
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.76
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+129%+$30.42
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.5
Spread: Magic (-12.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.39
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.79
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.6
76ers vs. Jazzbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.21
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.62
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.05
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.78
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.27
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$21.33
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.17
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.94
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.2
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.17
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.97
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)backed Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.33
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)backed Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+203%+$123.28
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.31
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.12
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)backed Korea Republic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Exact Score: Morocco 2 - 0 Haiti?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Harry Kane: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$198
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+617.7%+$111.56
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$8.01
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.3
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.56
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.08
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.29
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.04
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.23
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+152.5%+$19.63
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.29
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.56
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.65
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)backed Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.49
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$39.69
Spread: UCLA Bruins (-5.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-11.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.43
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-5.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.13
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+163.2%+$29.03
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$18.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$40.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$18.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.