TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pelicans, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,674,812
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,923,540

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,674,812 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,890 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfbf3…b218backed Pelicans36c229,000$82,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,439.9829245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Pelicans35c173,185$60,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,954.8411955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pistons66c127,359$84,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,302.0766248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Pistons65c121,979$78,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,282.2811241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Pistons65c108,844$70,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,481.9672648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Pistons64c100,000$64,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,00058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Pelicans34c87,316$29,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,687.5716841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans35c86,200$30,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,450.344,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Pelicans34c82,393$28,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,013.4943148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pelicans36c82,296$29,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,879.322,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Pistons65c76,923$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,923.0836549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Pistons66c75,757$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,757.3843542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9331…f51abacked Pistons70c61,251$43,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,106.78683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Pelicans36c60,000$21,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,60028643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Pistons65c56,039$36,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,613.5332540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pelicans37c53,344$19,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,687.271,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Pelicans34c50,000$17,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,00054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pistons64c50,000$32,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,0001,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans35c47,298$16,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,731.564,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Pistons64c43,750$28,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,75036359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Pelicans34c40,000$13,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,60010930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Pistons63c40,000$25,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,799.9917250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Pelicans37c37,277$13,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,792.6556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Pistons65c36,244$23,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,847.0111543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans36c32,466$11,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,580.474,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…e17dbacked Pistons65c30,901$20,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,815.245032%16 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Pistons64c30,886$19,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,118.89655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans15c30,294$4,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,664.61,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Pelicans36c29,851$10,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,875.8335547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Pistons65c29,500$19,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,32518151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Pistons64c28,000$18,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,986.7162347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Pistons64c27,000$17,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,72074748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Pistons67c26,769$18,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,722.6320744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22e9…8dd0backed Pelicans37c25,045$9,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,362.47475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Pelicans0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pistons80c23,613$18,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,805.221,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pelicans26c20,972$5,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,381.241,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7792…b63bbacked Pistons65c20,400$13,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,139.994940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4870…85f7backed Pelicans35c20,400$7,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,139.914445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pelicans37c20,000$7,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,4002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e6…7ce6backed Pistons64c20,000$12,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2001855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Pistons64c20,000$12,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,20029055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfec6…f355backed Pelicans36c20,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.933847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Pelicans15c18,960$2,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888.5342348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed Pelicans37c17,158$6,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,328.292060%12 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ce…079fbacked Pelicans35c15,500$5,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,424.971526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76ab…506dbacked Pelicans35c15,401$5,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,390.374551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Pistons64c15,150$9,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,45417050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Pistons62c15,000$9,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.8910641.5%44 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Pelicans35c14,334$4,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,992.0639349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pistons79c14,211$11,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0491,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans32c13,952$4,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,484.345,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Pelicans40c13,560$5,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,419.1919954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Pistons64c13,326$8,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,797.1837448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Pelicans37c13,249$4,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,902.1337944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons80c13,164$10,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.54,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pistons66c12,883$8,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,380.061,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9423…b2debacked Pistons65c12,600$8,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3502100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Pelicans34c12,549$4,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,266.618728.7%25 W · 62 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Pelicans19c12,500$2,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,37549244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ce8…8cabbacked Pelicans35c12,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,200250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pelicans19c11,790$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,240.061,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Pelicans34c11,765$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00015850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons66c11,546$7,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,925.691,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3762…6f3dbacked Pistons65c11,281$7,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,948.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Pelicans35c11,200$3,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,972.541,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc6…1d96backed Pistons66c11,000$7,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7401566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+73.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6ca…5f88backed Pelicans35c10,901$3,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,815.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x805d…99cebacked Pistons65c10,900$7,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,815366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Pelicans37c10,707$3,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,963.0924744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd56…048fbacked Pistons66c10,373$6,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,526.91850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb7…ed23backed Pelicans33c10,200$3,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,365.921225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-46%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pelicans38c10,033$3,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,786.42,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2efb…18a6backed Pelicans33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,300.141464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+41.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Pelicans35c10,000$3,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,526.9129250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Pistons65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5005064%32 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8650…b8babacked Pistons66c10,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.992556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pelicans34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.9446928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Pelicans1c9,774$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.837211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19a8…e5ecbacked Pelicans35c9,500$3,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,325.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47f8…6699backed Pistons64c9,109$5,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,279.213354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x648d…1366backed Pelicans37c9,109$3,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,370.33336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Pelicans37c8,888$3,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,288.521,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc825…4530backed Pelicans30c8,783$2,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,673.114231%13 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc20b…2fb8backed Pelicans35c8,600$2,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,990.985119.6%10 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed Pelicans36c8,478$3,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,052.084443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Pistons64c8,000$5,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Pelicans36c8,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.9286641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Pistons66c7,952$5,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,703.5627241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans20c7,856$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.32,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Pelicans36c7,721$2,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,767.8465939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58df…76b4backed Pelicans34c7,600$2,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5841353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Pelicans21c7,406$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.359838.8%38 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Pelicans2c7,265$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.963179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed Pistons77c7,155$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.135352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Pistons65c7,137$4,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,483.11,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe094…7080backed Pelicans35c7,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2a42backed Pelicans27c6,850$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.989851%50 W · 48 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pelicans0c6,805$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.48820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Pelicans37c6,258$2,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,315.4724942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.