NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf964d61c05f4580daa9f78af744075897bb9881efe4ddfb695d7f43699f28615
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,160,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,262,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,160,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 962 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 52c | 500,228$259,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241,080.27 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Pelicans | 48c | 402,762$193,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193,325.88 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Pistons | 50c | 173,603$86,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,801.63 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans | 50c | 149,271$74,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,549.83 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa20b…df6ebacked Pelicans | 50c | 123,030$61,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,514.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce75…c5f6backed Pistons | 50c | 98,893$49,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,446.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 2c | 61,075$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.42 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 53c | 60,524$32,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,447.5 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans | 49c | 48,043$23,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,444.94 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Pistons | 52c | 47,685$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,684.62 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…9326backed Pistons | 50c | 42,500$21,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,250 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pelicans | 47c | 35,829$16,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,839.67 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339b…3c2dbacked Pistons | 50c | 34,472$17,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,236 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons | 51c | 32,423$16,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,894.04 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ad…0f2cbacked Pistons | 50c | 31,129$15,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,564.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Pistons | 49c | 29,411$14,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,999.61 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed86…7240backed Pistons | 50c | 28,841$14,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,420.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…e415backed Pistons | 50c | 28,622$14,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,311 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…263dbacked Pelicans | 35c | 25,967$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…8e53backed Pelicans | 50c | 25,049$12,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,524.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 49c | 25,031$12,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,864.43 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1227…9237backed Pelicans | 50c | 23,660$11,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,830 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…fd89backed Pelicans | 50c | 23,608$11,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,804 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e5…3c6cbacked Pistons | 50c | 23,530$11,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,765 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c32…a114backed Pistons | 50c | 23,443$11,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,721.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa175…065dbacked Pistons | 50c | 22,883$11,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,441.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x169d…7102backed Pistons | 50c | 21,941$10,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,970.5 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ae…275dbacked Pelicans | 50c | 21,650$10,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,825 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…f3b8backed Pelicans | 50c | 21,609$10,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,804.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…5b13backed Pelicans | 50c | 21,492$10,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,746 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…9c04backed Pistons | 50c | 21,434$10,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,717 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons | 50c | 21,368$10,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,642.69 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02d…45e5backed Pelicans | 50c | 21,335$10,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,667.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…41e9backed Pelicans | 50c | 21,326$10,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,663 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef0…62fdbacked Pelicans | 50c | 21,026$10,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,513 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…52cabacked Pistons | 50c | 20,877$10,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,438.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…1176backed Pelicans | 50c | 20,155$10,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,077.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Pelicans | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0bdebacked Pelicans | 50c | 18,961$9,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,480.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x251c…c534backed Pelicans | 50c | 17,311$8,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,655.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…75b8backed Pelicans | 50c | 17,281$8,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,640.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…2618backed Pelicans | 50c | 17,173$8,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,586.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4d…f436backed Pelicans | 50c | 17,112$8,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,556 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf6…64f1backed Pelicans | 50c | 16,594$8,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,297 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…c29abacked Pelicans | 50c | 16,032$8,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,016 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…7655backed Pelicans | 50c | 15,093$7,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,546.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d2…5f41backed Pelicans | 50c | 10,996$5,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,498 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Pelicans | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…515bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 9,858$4,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,929 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaa…ccddbacked Pelicans | 50c | 9,803$4,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,901.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 50c | 9,468$4,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,766.96 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…f5c8backed Pelicans | 50c | 8,931$4,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,465.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…e580backed Pelicans | 50c | 8,861$4,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,430.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1f…5192backed Pistons | 50c | 8,857$4,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,428.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pistons | 48c | 8,796$4,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,573.68 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e9…d05abacked Pistons | 50c | 8,624$4,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,312 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e8…5ee9backed Pistons | 50c | 8,610$4,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,305 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…00debacked Pistons | 50c | 8,404$4,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,201.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9399…bd50backed Pelicans | 50c | 8,351$4,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,175.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b2…7d9dbacked Pelicans | 50c | 8,186$4,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,093 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8aeebacked Pistons | 50c | 8,182$4,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,091 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db3…9fbbbacked Pistons | 50c | 7,894$3,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,947 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Pelicans | 50c | 7,865$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,932.65 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd3…ece7backed Pistons | 50c | 7,388$3,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368f…fe1bbacked Pistons | 50c | 7,344$3,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0250…1558backed Pistons | 50c | 7,321$3,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79bb…e960backed Pistons | 50c | 7,211$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,605.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5945…67cabacked Pelicans | 49c | 7,111$3,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.39 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Pistons | 49c | 6,239$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.89 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…9e2cbacked Pelicans | 50c | 6,070$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,035 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32dd…c881backed Pistons | 50c | 6,060$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Pelicans | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pistons | 48c | 5,828$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.46 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Pelicans | 51c | 5,704$2,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.28 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f070backed Pelicans | 48c | 5,701$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…050bbacked Pistons | 50c | 5,590$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacdc…d2e1backed Pelicans | 50c | 5,589$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d7…579ebacked Pelicans | 48c | 5,576$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,676.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Pelicans | 51c | 5,490$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca13…a3eebacked Pistons | 50c | 5,292$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c22…ae4ebacked Pistons | 50c | 5,267$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,633.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons | 49c | 5,257$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.07 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…d140backed Pistons | 50c | 5,202$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd84a…0824backed Pistons | 50c | 5,196$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…aaa0backed Pistons | 50c | 5,191$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ce…2353backed Pelicans | 50c | 5,130$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa193…1735backed Pelicans | 50c | 5,114$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,557 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd50…b86abacked Pelicans | 50c | 5,085$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c5…1b59backed Pelicans | 50c | 5,082$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb09d…a5e7backed Pistons | 50c | 5,073$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pelicans | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447c…767ebacked Pelicans | 48c | 4,974$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…ef6bbacked Pistons | 50c | 4,963$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfef5…4ba6backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,846$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…f69ebacked Pistons | 50c | 4,778$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…4677backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,679$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2f…adb0backed Pistons | 50c | 4,676$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pelicans | 48c | 4,674$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.05 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…0eb2backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,669$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdc…ff57backed Pistons | 50c | 4,637$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +42%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Caris LeVert: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Caris LeVert: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Kevin Huerter: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. PistonsPistons won
- Pelicans vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pelicans vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 20.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.