TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$275,874
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$275,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $275,874 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under52c25,000$12,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,965.71,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c23,524$11,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,201.721,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7388…4f7fbacked Over50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0002100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+64.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee6f…6903backed Under50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c7,983$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,911.661,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6748…5e15backed Over49c6,240$3,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,182.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4890…6ac9backed Over50c5,867$2,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,933.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa129…e4adbacked Under51c5,811$2,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,963.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8824…01f7backed Over49c5,804$2,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,952.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa67…dd80backed Over49c5,772$2,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,943.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Over46c5,484$2,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,967.569440.4%38 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a77…510fbacked Under51c5,315$2,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,710.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf33…b776backed Over49c5,283$2,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,694.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f6f…d043backed Over50c5,225$2,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,612.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x416c…832bbacked Under51c5,100$2,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,601250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5010…712cbacked Under50c5,050$2,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,525250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x194a…aef0backed Over50c5,038$2,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5192100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c1a…055abacked Over49c4,877$2,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,487.273100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd380…86cbbacked Under51c4,690$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,391.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e1…6cd3backed Under51c4,674$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,383.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x806a…8e83backed Over49c4,671$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,382.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa225…71b7backed Over49c4,667$2,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.772100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5461…ee56backed Over50c4,654$2,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3272100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabd6…d3c9backed Over50c4,555$2,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb86d…8d3abacked Under50c4,531$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,265.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd12d…448fbacked Under51c4,518$2,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,304.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4df…db8fbacked Under50c4,508$2,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,254250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e8c…545cbacked Over50c4,499$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbed3…f7cebacked Under51c4,495$2,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,292.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf63…cf8bbacked Over49c4,473$2,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,281.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24d4…8a85backed Over49c4,451$2,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,270.012100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x164a…34f3backed Under51c4,448$2,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,268.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1328…38e7backed Over49c4,415$2,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,251.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c6b…ce60backed Under51c4,392$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba00…841ebacked Over49c4,371$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,229.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x584b…5c81backed Over50c4,357$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d6…fca1backed Over50c4,357$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e19…d0f1backed Under51c4,311$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc424…382fbacked Under51c4,311$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbba9…2f6dbacked Under51c4,310$2,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x037d…f7b9backed Under51c4,244$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7584…c1e8backed Under51c4,211$2,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,147.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x327a…cf45backed Under50c4,172$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ab…6db3backed Over49c4,151$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.01250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3be…6d68backed Under51c4,147$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e6b…d248backed Over49c4,124$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8142…0cf7backed Under51c4,073$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12e7…286ebacked Under51c4,022$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…e54ebacked Under51c3,983$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,031.33250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf30…c976backed Over49c3,983$1,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,031.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96a1…0aa9backed Under51c3,950$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,014.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd29…c0e2backed Over50c3,939$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43d0…bea8backed Under50c3,890$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef8…3937backed Under51c3,826$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,951.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc613…c00fbacked Under51c3,795$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd6…e3f6backed Over50c3,718$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8592100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa167…17b7backed Under51c3,675$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2dd…81eabacked Under51c3,646$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef2a…8868backed Under50c3,512$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb11b…ab33backed Over49c3,467$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bac…872bbacked Over49c3,450$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33c…3bd9backed Under51c3,425$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf71…075abacked Under50c3,341$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2882…9d84backed Under51c3,288$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aee…3ff1backed Under50c3,264$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1863…fdaebacked Over49c3,261$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x475f…3cc3backed Over50c3,258$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6293100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under54c3,221$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.12,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55e6…54e2backed Under50c3,207$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc706…c2dcbacked Over49c3,192$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d9…507abacked Over49c3,187$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed1b…a859backed Under50c3,106$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x096c…ba7cbacked Over49c3,104$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61c1…b13cbacked Over49c3,085$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.353100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5988…ed42backed Over50c3,058$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5293100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc902…90b7backed Over49c3,040$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc04e…75f1backed Under51c3,037$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fdb…7976backed Over49c2,997$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bab…36ecbacked Under50c2,968$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under51c2,966$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.6627241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2c…dee1backed Over49c2,966$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.663100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x919b…6fdabacked Under51c2,923$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a6f…5f0abacked Over49c2,907$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f49…bc46backed Under51c2,868$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e03…d46cbacked Over49c2,860$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd8e…c94ebacked Over49c2,714$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c52…f629backed Over49c2,672$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c36…adcdbacked Under51c2,669$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba70…0240backed Over49c2,663$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.133100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0619…2f68backed Over49c2,616$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x831e…c6fcbacked Under51c2,596$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f86…64f5backed Under51c2,427$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa75a…3006backed Over49c2,410$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf29c…e031backed Under50c2,371$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x221f…1f38backed Over49c2,285$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.353100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…f081backed Over49c2,282$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.823100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf689…ae5abacked Under51c2,266$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59b9…f169backed Under50c2,209$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5479…c560backed Under50c2,209$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…be9cbacked Under51c2,198$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.