TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$345,361
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$349,584

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,361 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c107,853$55,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,847.91,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under49c59,796$29,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,299.8144352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under49c20,408$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa136…ea3cbacked Under49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003941%16 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under49c8,163$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00016249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under49c8,163$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00029347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480b…0f1cbacked Under48c5,793$2,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,780.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16a9…7abdbacked Over51c5,446$2,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,668.542100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e7a…f4a8backed Under49c5,210$2,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,552.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…111fbacked Under48c5,202$2,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,496.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff7b…572dbacked Under48c5,191$2,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,491.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0be…2f89backed Under48c5,145$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,469.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5db9…50afbacked Over51c5,107$2,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,502.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf78…fc41backed Over51c5,086$2,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,492.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad3…261ebacked Under48c5,049$2,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e7…268fbacked Over52c4,963$2,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,382.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf094…f3efbacked Under48c4,888$2,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,346.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7808…c4b1backed Under48c4,863$2,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,334.43757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1dc…8ab3backed Under49c4,839$2,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,371.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaa7…348abacked Under49c4,828$2,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,365.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x236a…3773backed Over52c4,783$2,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,295.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x801d…1c44backed Under49c4,755$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,329.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc93c…4c15backed Under48c4,735$2,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,272.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd69c…1afbbacked Under48c4,690$2,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,251.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0817…6164backed Over52c4,653$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,233.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c6…244abacked Under49c4,618$2,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea65…152bbacked Over52c4,594$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,205.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7966…4c38backed Over52c4,552$2,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ba8…70c9backed Over52c4,541$2,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,179.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb44d…b285backed Over52c4,415$2,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4fc…013fbacked Under49c4,258$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac5a…933bbacked Over52c4,235$2,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032.663100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07e8…5d26backed Under49c4,208$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.92425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b3d…2f02backed Over51c4,182$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x336d…061abacked Over52c4,147$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.613100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x07be…fc29backed Under48c4,128$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e41…0e9cbacked Over51c4,107$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07ba…93e3backed Under48c4,101$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab3…2389backed Over52c4,028$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdc1…950cbacked Over52c4,014$2,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,926.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc35c…a8e1backed Over52c3,960$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d09…7284backed Over52c3,922$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under49c3,878$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b0…ad06backed Over51c3,850$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb289…378fbacked Under48c3,753$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…065cbacked Under48c3,751$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ad…bed5backed Under48c3,734$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f6…7501backed Over52c3,733$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3484…ff6abacked Over52c3,666$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a8…6046backed Over52c3,616$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f64…1b7cbacked Over52c3,616$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b6a…a602backed Over51c3,601$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.493100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac0c…7b74backed Under48c3,597$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f60…d4babacked Over52c3,591$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff88…9c74backed Under48c3,544$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2801…870dbacked Under48c3,523$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098f…4c78backed Over52c3,449$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5808…33a9backed Under48c3,447$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf1…5613backed Over51c3,447$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.033100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7e8…8056backed Under48c3,422$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b43…f478backed Over52c3,407$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf95…69b0backed Over52c3,406$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0371…8a83backed Over52c3,353$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ea…26fcbacked Under48c3,353$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e57…bfd8backed Under48c3,345$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ce…6d0abacked Under48c3,320$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d9…4f18backed Over52c3,265$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1f8…4845backed Over52c3,239$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2fa…1217backed Over52c3,230$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2355…572dbacked Over52c3,221$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.3475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20dd…a760backed Over52c3,219$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e7…1571backed Over52c3,214$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45c5…99ddbacked Over52c3,199$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c07…2404backed Under48c3,178$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…ab10backed Under48c3,161$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6bf…8eadbacked Over52c3,132$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6787…72dbbacked Under48c3,083$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e64…51ecbacked Under48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd778…e4e2backed Under48c2,988$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23b9…ebe5backed Under48c2,967$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x911b…a736backed Under48c2,938$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x843f…653bbacked Under48c2,924$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a58…8af3backed Under48c2,901$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71e2…2384backed Over52c2,880$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b06…6c5cbacked Over52c2,848$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87aa…6d99backed Under48c2,839$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa79c…b036backed Over52c2,832$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x014b…d556backed Under48c2,813$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9560…d183backed Over52c2,794$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6750…bd04backed Over52c2,792$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.07475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+54.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8e…dfc6backed Over52c2,769$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4049…2296backed Under48c2,725$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae6…5eccbacked Under48c2,688$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e2…1e41backed Under49c2,675$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22dd…241dbacked Under48c2,662$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a18…4499backed Under48c2,650$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd2…efbebacked Under48c2,612$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051e…4cb2backed Under48c2,604$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba6…8321backed Under48c2,601$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6324…8a93backed Over52c2,553$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.