NBA · resolved market
Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16b08f630d3ecea8c4d834cbe63c86fd852edc258bae183bb95409bd96930e6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Yes | 29c | 1,775$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.95 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 70c | 1,019$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.91 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 71c | 713.94$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.59 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05b…3bf2backed Yes | 29c | 692.21$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fe…d614backed Yes | 29c | 310.34$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Yes | 27c | 107.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 392 | 65.1%255 W · 137 L | +31.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 64c | 98.63$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked No | 73c | 88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 270 | 59.6%161 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 69c | 83.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 63c | 78.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…2723backed Yes | 27c | 71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 36c | 67.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Yes | 34c | 60.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 387 | 36.4%141 W · 246 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe86d…ada3backed Yes | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 153 | 62.1%95 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fc…dbc6backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed No | 64c | 44.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed No | 53c | 41.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked No | 70c | 31.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…bc1bbacked No | 66c | 30.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…8efcbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 73c | 29.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7463…df9dbacked No | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed No | 64c | 18.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 6.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Caris LeVert: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Caris LeVert: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Kevin Huerter: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. PistonsPistons won
- Pelicans vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pelicans vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 20.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.