NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1c6adefcab57c23d5584f2826db74d739894c77eeb20b2e716f13fb565080f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 72c | 1,900$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.13 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 1,222$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.98 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 53c | 1,186$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.42 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 21c | 607.36$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.71 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 47c | 468.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.09 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 54c | 450.96$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.73 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 53c | 448.85$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.89 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 28c | 392.86$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.91 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 316.95$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.91 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 219.03$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.68 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 31c | 205$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under | 55c | 181.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…23e3backed Under | 50c | 138.18$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Over | 47c | 128.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 118$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 40c | 116.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 46c | 107.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 50c | 98.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 62c | 91.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 27c | 89.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 53c | 85.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 27c | 83.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 50c | 50.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 56c | 50.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Over | 54c | 45.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b6…4587backed Over | 51c | 45.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 46c | 43.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 45c | 40.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4694…b6b2backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 72c | 31.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 39c | 29.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 45c | 27.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 27.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 22.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…7757backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 52c | 19.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Caris LeVert: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Caris LeVert: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Kevin Huerter: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. PistonsPistons won
- Pelicans vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pelicans vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 20.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.