NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5ec4aba7c9bbd511a26712bcbab08a0f06a2c3216c318e5029f49129b8447ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.99 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 1,954$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.86 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 1,290$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.59 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 1,256$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 46c | 1,161$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.91 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 832.04$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.68 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 688.08$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.12 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec1…bfa6backed Over | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 44c | 531.68$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.64 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 45c | 449$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 56c | 383.97$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.97 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21da…31ebbacked Over | 58c | 345.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.13 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 43c | 305.63$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.42 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 259.11$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.09 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 43c | 231.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Under | 44c | 199.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…2ee3backed Over | 55c | 181.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…a8aebacked Over | 54c | 177.78$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Over | 54c | 166.13$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 43c | 145.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.11 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 115.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6634…b868backed Under | 46c | 105.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 46c | 104.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 47c | 102$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Over | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 45c | 77.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Over | 56c | 67.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 57c | 63.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…57e5backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 45c | 58.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Under | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 55c | 53.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…2d04backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 47c | 45.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…183ebacked Under | 47c | 40.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…75bbbacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ab…47f0backed Over | 56c | 29.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 43c | 29.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Over | 53c | 28.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x479a…f7f1backed Over | 69c | 27.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Under | 45c | 26.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Over | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 60c | 23.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb7…d873backed Over | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…6c9bbacked Over | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Caris LeVert: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Caris LeVert: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Dejounte Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Kevin Huerter: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. PistonsPistons won
- Pelicans vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pelicans vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 20.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.