TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,097,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,107,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,097,214 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Pistons49c494,094$243,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250,930.6987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Pistons48c346,784$166,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180,347.4772648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Pelicans52c219,516$114,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,130.3326253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pelicans51c205,449$105,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105,278.9166248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Pelicans50c182,985$91,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,492.385658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans52c160,000$82,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,7001,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Pelicans52c62,000$32,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,24043148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Pistons47c36,803$17,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,533.2536359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons48c30,956$14,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,092.754,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons48c26,610$12,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,963.644,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans53c17,986$9,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,540.176,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Pelicans50c13,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5008839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Pelicans52c11,045$5,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,743.3948352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked Pelicans53c9,352$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons46c9,273$4,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,984.034,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons48c8,392$4,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,366.632,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Pelicans52c8,000$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,16043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Pelicans51c7,953$4,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,087.7417850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans52c7,675$3,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,987.6282442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Pistons50c7,042$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,541.679547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Pelicans52c4,895$2,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,546.251,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pelicans52c4,000$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,09095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed Pelicans52c3,870$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,031.245250%26 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pistons48c3,730$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.491,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Pistons48c3,457$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.4658740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee4e…253fbacked Pistons47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1991…5e71backed Pistons47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans53c2,927$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.053,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Pelicans52c2,558$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.2165762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Pistons45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.117050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Pistons47c2,100$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11322143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Pistons48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3329040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Pelicans55c1,780$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97964651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed Pelicans52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7803644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Pelicans53c1,481$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.0221142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Pelicans53c1,400$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73691050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pistons75c1,363$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.032,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x515f…7e7fbacked Pelicans52c1,363$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.874639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc684…9be4backed Pelicans53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb6…1a6ebacked Pelicans53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Pelicans53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.8942352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Pelicans24c1,093$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.5420741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Pelicans52c1,041$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.3217637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Pelicans53c1,038$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons49c1,033$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.831,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Pelicans52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83fb…393cbacked Pelicans53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc790…eea6backed Pelicans53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa68b…92bcbacked Pistons48c978.96$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.06887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick52cpaid+70.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons49c961.66$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.721,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Pelicans52c910.58$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47440041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ea…d072backed Pelicans53c900$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec7d…9b6ebacked Pelicans53c900$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pistons49c821$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.712,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x026c…8d76backed Pistons44c762$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.726946.4%32 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Pelicans53c739.31$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.8451647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Pelicans51c687.05$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.4240344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Pelicans54c661.04$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36024849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf711…31cbbacked Pelicans53c639.52$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3421275%9 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans45c632.85$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.788,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Pistons47c629.99$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.9947436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Pelicans53c590.35$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.681,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pistons47c559.61$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.451,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Pelicans53c546.29$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.535745.6%26 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Pelicans55c483.64$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26647651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Pelicans52c476.42$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.514059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8778…83b5backed Pistons48c464.51$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.748653.5%46 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb007…21f2backed Pelicans48c462.51$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Pelicans56c455.36$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25523550.2%118 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Pelicans53c450$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.544252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pelicans51c441.13$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.751,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95fc…10f6backed Pelicans53c437.47$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.865742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Pistons49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1610252%53 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Pelicans56c403.59$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.587448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Pelicans52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20826745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Pelicans53c382.36$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5520846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Pelicans53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62ca…780cbacked Pelicans54c367.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Pistons45c364.93$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7117144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Pistons52c358.34$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1321848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Pelicans34c351.78$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12110656.6%60 W · 46 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Pelicans52c331.27$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5221550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Pelicans53c326.16$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8687049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Pelicans51c324.83$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6677549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Pelicans34c323.58$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11115253.3%81 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Pelicans52c293.51$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6291148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Pelicans55c292.73$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1618453.6%45 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons49c285.45$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.744,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…1af9backed Pelicans53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505747.4%27 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Pelicans53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Pelicans36c280.61$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10211855.1%65 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Pelicans53c275.42$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9718250%91 W · 91 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Pelicans37c271.85$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10113751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Pistons46c270$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.835849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Pelicans53c268.05$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9649249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Pelicans33c263.64$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8715453.2%82 W · 72 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bcf…ef2fbacked Pelicans57c263.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.991040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Pelicans53c249.33$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1467248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Pelicans52c240.41$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.017455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Pelicans52c228.96$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.061,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.