TailMyPicks
Market

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arizona Wildcatsof Utah State Aggies, Arizona Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,804,527

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,804,527 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xacae…6798backed Utah State Aggies13c1,047,453$132,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132,891.4410749.5%53 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…6020backed Utah State Aggies14c782,027$109,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109,483.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed Utah State Aggies14c600,000$84,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Utah State Aggies11c549,378$58,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,658.917742.9%76 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Utah State Aggies18c386,348$68,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,549.0146446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Utah State Aggies2c275,320$6,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,711.1934343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Utah State Aggies27c201,665$54,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,135.522,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Utah State Aggies14c156,378$21,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,475.448246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Utah State Aggies7c143,508$9,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,412.8325145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Utah State Aggies14c104,138$14,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,579.2634943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Utah State Aggies14c87,470$12,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,245.858644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Utah State Aggies15c84,105$12,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,769.071,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Utah State Aggies11c79,996$8,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,899.548148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Utah State Aggies15c76,689$11,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,661.611,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Utah State Aggies18c73,174$13,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,171.37520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7744…999ebacked Utah State Aggies13c67,233$8,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,958.51837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Utah State Aggies16c61,455$9,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,794.082,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c6…47debacked Utah State Aggies13c59,572$7,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,741.372927.6%8 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Utah State Aggies18c55,500$9,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,9901030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-42.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Utah State Aggies15c54,924$8,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,375.8418744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Utah State Aggies14c54,916$7,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,538.290645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Utah State Aggies7c49,773$3,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,260.116643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Utah State Aggies16c47,017$7,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,644.083,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eee…ebe0backed Utah State Aggies18c43,888$7,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,899.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+52.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424c…a8afbacked Utah State Aggies14c40,614$5,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,818.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3348…c819backed Utah State Aggies13c40,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2001225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Utah State Aggies2c39,977$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.6287.1%2 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick7cpaid-79.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb425…c80bbacked Utah State Aggies14c38,560$5,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,533.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Utah State Aggies15c38,000$5,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,65012251.6%63 W · 59 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fa…8bf8backed Utah State Aggies14c35,696$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.51333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e0…eccdbacked Utah State Aggies14c35,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Utah State Aggies16c33,476$5,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,514.488444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Utah State Aggies14c30,010$4,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,201.365,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8210…aa2cbacked Utah State Aggies13c29,000$3,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,770837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60e…d332backed Utah State Aggies14c28,397$4,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,015.571435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Utah State Aggies14c27,922$3,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,901.1684147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x561e…2093backed Utah State Aggies14c27,831$3,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,896.343333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f7c…8ae5backed Utah State Aggies0c26,101$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed Utah State Aggies14c24,966$3,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,495.24911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-75.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Utah State Aggies14c24,727$3,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,461.7321149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Utah State Aggies14c23,333$3,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,266.624628.3%13 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Utah State Aggies14c20,937$2,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,931.194339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Utah State Aggies14c20,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80061652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Utah State Aggies14c20,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8003016.7%5 W · 25 L-7.2wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-69.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Utah State Aggies14c19,916$2,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,788.21,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Utah State Aggies15c19,506$3,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,022.139259.8%55 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Utah State Aggies11c19,041$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.3746246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cf6…af1ebacked Utah State Aggies14c16,074$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,250.351513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.8wins-0.32per pick45cpaid-74.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Utah State Aggies16c15,839$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.653057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41e2…3ad5backed Utah State Aggies6c15,360$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.391323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-45.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Utah State Aggies13c15,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9504548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Utah State Aggies13c15,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90036944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Utah State Aggies16c15,000$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3402729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Utah State Aggies15c14,800$2,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2922250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ac…2c21backed Utah State Aggies3c14,285$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.351435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arizona Wildcats79c11,918$9,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,538.161,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fcb…f91abacked Utah State Aggies14c11,905$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.721225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1315…a84abacked Utah State Aggies14c10,690$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked Utah State Aggies14c10,332$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.523548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a13…4593backed Utah State Aggies13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3003641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60c…a795backed Utah State Aggies14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Utah State Aggies14c9,985$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.856127.9%17 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Utah State Aggies6c9,226$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.3928539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Utah State Aggies15c9,000$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.582142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf732…7c06backed Utah State Aggies14c8,994$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.11127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc722…1334backed Utah State Aggies2c8,481$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.17175.9%1 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick24cpaid-87.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Utah State Aggies14c8,272$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.027337%27 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Utah State Aggies14c8,155$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.75933.9%20 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Utah State Aggies6c7,700$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.114447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f1…c5f8backed Arizona Wildcats70c7,200$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Utah State Aggies4c7,104$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.1521636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe223…34eebacked Utah State Aggies0c7,077$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Utah State Aggies14c6,615$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.0815748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Utah State Aggies15c6,539$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.4612227.9%34 W · 88 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb64f…0d2abacked Utah State Aggies14c6,164$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8633138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7988…f3f3backed Utah State Aggies6c5,995$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.932913.8%4 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Arizona Wildcats75c5,961$4,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.826446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebbd…ab49backed Utah State Aggies18c5,800$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Utah State Aggies17c5,640$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.11728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-48.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Utah State Aggies5c5,253$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.52853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Utah State Aggies14c4,979$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.05944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x960e…77d6backed Arizona Wildcats71c4,964$3,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.553745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed Utah State Aggies14c4,755$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.681533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fd8…1de3backed Utah State Aggies14c4,591$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.771435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a0f…95dcbacked Utah State Aggies14c4,461$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Utah State Aggies14c4,005$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.77643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Utah State Aggies13c4,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5208046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Utah State Aggies14c3,983$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf003…0a0cbacked Utah State Aggies17c3,770$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.9650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe8…da74backed Utah State Aggies14c3,626$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.66666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+27.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed Utah State Aggies3c3,509$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.761010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-83.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Utah State Aggies7c3,474$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.471631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-52.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Utah State Aggies25c3,298$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.492246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Utah State Aggies3c3,180$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2131837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5714…5822backed Utah State Aggies16c3,126$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd3…41f8backed Utah State Aggies11c3,125$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.722556%14 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4cc9…7a80backed Utah State Aggies14c3,087$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-38.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Utah State Aggies12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce61…8ef6backed Utah State Aggies4c3,000$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12270%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbedd…7605backed Utah State Aggies8c2,834$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.43318.2%6 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.