Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 156.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54ecde7ab711c45f5c88bf45e2aca7e287404e5afdb83d1e9d193fa7c88cd700
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,252 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 4,429$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.71 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.98 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 2,021$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.34 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Over | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 45c | 1,715$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.68 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Over | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae3…2c9dbacked Over | 49c | 1,110$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Over | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Under | 55c | 1,014$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.34 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8788…8aa8backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d0…77e2backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 49c | 845.14$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.12 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 52c | 671.61$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.66 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 53c | 517.45$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.53 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 3c | 407.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over | 46c | 326.64$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.25 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Over | 46c | 326.64$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.25 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Under | 54c | 290.15$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x126d…f863backed Over | 46c | 265.7$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.22 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 249.13$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.62 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 47c | 243.86$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.61 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Over | 49c | 229.06$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.24 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 45c | 202.31$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.04 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Under | 54c | 198.26$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Over | 47c | 180.42$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 68c | 151.89$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…e141backed Under | 58c | 148.72$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 51c | 130.07$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.73 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Under | 55c | 111.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 53c | 106.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 51c | 102.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Under | 55c | 99.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Under | 51c | 93.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 86.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 56c | 79.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Over | 44c | 74.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Over | 44c | 67.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Over | 37c | 65.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Over | 43c | 63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 53c | 56.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c69…52fdbacked Over | 51c | 55.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…96e1backed Under | 54c | 55.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9f…5734backed Under | 67c | 53.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 52c | 46.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 54c | 45.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…42fbbacked Under | 53c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Over | 47c | 38.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Under | 57c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 75c | 33.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Over | 46c | 31.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Over | 45c | 26.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Under | 56c | 21.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe58…ba98backed Under | 75c | 19.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0114…9b9bbacked Under | 54c | 19.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484b…c91bbacked Under | 54c | 18.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcd…f802backed Under | 78c | 18.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 156.5this page
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-12.5)Utah State Aggies won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-13.5)Utah State Aggies won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona WildcatsArizona Wildcats won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 136.5Over won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 141.5Over won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 144.5Under won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 152.5Under won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 153.5Under won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 154.5Under won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 155.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.