Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 154.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54c13c6e9a90a85ab8906e4d743aad143e90db6896b4a1d1f2de16be25c4b302
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,965 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 13,442$6,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,486.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 49c | 10,111$4,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,156.5 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Under | 51c | 9,993$5,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,896.79 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 49c | 7,223$3,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.17 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 6,363$3,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135.66 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 50c | 6,021$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.74 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…dd70backed Over | 51c | 5,954$3,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.72 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 5,094$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570.42 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Over | 51c | 3,666$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.15 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 3,496$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.95 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 3,356$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.95 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Over | 52c | 3,113$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.77 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 47c | 2,949$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.14 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 51c | 2,561$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.29 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…c75fbacked Over | 52c | 2,210$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.13 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Over | 51c | 2,113$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.77 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 48c | 2,065$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.87 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 49c | 1,983$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.43 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…e058backed Over | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Over | 51c | 1,613$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.77 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…799dbacked Over | 51c | 1,221$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Over | 43c | 1,130$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.39 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 51c | 1,040$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.55 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…d65fbacked Over | 51c | 1,010$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.1 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…f7dabacked Over | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 52c | 974.72$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.85 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Under | 47c | 897.96$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.92 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Under | 49c | 758.98$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.08 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Under | 47c | 646.67$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.74 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 592.06$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.16 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 11c | 558.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 49c | 557.58$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.19 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6586…c69cbacked Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 51c | 396.5$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.47 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 298.37$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.22 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Over | 49c | 297.38$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.71 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb97…5bb6backed Under | 48c | 233.42$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…0b74backed Under | 52c | 209.69$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.65 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 9c | 208.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 51c | 200.18$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.09 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Under | 52c | 199.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.64 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Under | 52c | 199.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.64 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dee…8780backed Under | 48c | 187.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…f862backed Over | 53c | 184.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Over | 52c | 182.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81da…2b1abacked Over | 53c | 176.39$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…0268backed Under | 47c | 157.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 49c | 152.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 51c | 152.28$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf76…395cbacked Over | 53c | 143.21$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under | 52c | 140.36$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Under | 49c | 137.04$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…65acbacked Over | 53c | 136.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…5c71backed Under | 48c | 135.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Under | 52c | 122.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Under | 52c | 120.93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 50c | 113.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 52c | 113.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa010…98bdbacked Over | 52c | 113.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 48c | 103$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Under | 52c | 102.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Under | 52c | 102.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Over | 48c | 99.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 52c | 89.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Under | 47c | 84.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc04d…1411backed Under | 48c | 83.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Under | 52c | 83.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 49c | 79.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Over | 49c | 62.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 56.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…1c5dbacked Over | 55c | 49.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…d5b1backed Under | 48c | 46.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…6ffdbacked Over | 53c | 46.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…4fb5backed Under | 54c | 45.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…9ef7backed Under | 48c | 44.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…2cf2backed Over | 53c | 44.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 43.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f76…8640backed Over | 53c | 42.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…66cdbacked Under | 48c | 42.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…60d4backed Over | 53c | 42.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cb…7a98backed Under | 48c | 41.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Under | 53c | 41.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 48c | 41.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc591…673bbacked Under | 48c | 41.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48c…0125backed Over | 53c | 40.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over | 52c | 40.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e3…78e6backed Under | 48c | 40.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 48c | 39.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed Over | 49c | 38.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…bae4backed Over | 53c | 38.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Over | 49c | 37.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 154.5this page
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)Arizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-12.5)Utah State Aggies won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-13.5)Utah State Aggies won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona WildcatsArizona Wildcats won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 136.5Over won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 141.5Over won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 144.5Under won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 152.5Under won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 153.5Under won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 155.5Under won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 156.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.