TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,140,585
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,399,388

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,140,585 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 745 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0720…1cdbbacked Yes64c2,970,842$1,891,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891,851.0320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No36c658,608$235,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422,900.952556%14 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked No36c312,500$112,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200,000862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No37c288,866$105,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182,874.13745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No39c282,421$110,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172,276.8511246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No39c277,179$108,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168,437.044843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No38c250,000$95,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154,999.931353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes62c246,446$151,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,975.415846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No36c226,114$81,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144,190.64254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No39c182,875$70,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,331.513,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Yes63c95,531$60,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,184.811050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No37c94,400$34,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,4722065%13 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+38.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No36c90,700$32,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,047.951942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes61c89,913$55,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,050.0514740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Yes64c64,540$41,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,305.29520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No37c57,120$21,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,985.63450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No38c50,000$19,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,999.942755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed Yes63c50,000$31,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,455.39425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-67%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked No36c41,944$14,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,959.241643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes62c41,533$25,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,546.671346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No38c35,056$13,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,804.145947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No36c35,000$12,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,399.962958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No37c31,969$11,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,140.315532.7%18 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Yes62c30,000$18,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,600850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x980d…7763backed Yes16c28,846$4,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,596.26616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-71.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No37c26,996$9,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,042.2391950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed No38c26,756$10,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,502.58683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+76.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Yes62c26,666$16,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,666.242931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed No38c25,279$9,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,580.33475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+100.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No38c23,000$8,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,319.9610960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No38c22,724$8,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,999.6638247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No39c22,517$8,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,811.172369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+34.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No37c21,273$7,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,440.7143344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No39c21,047$8,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,844.333452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No37c20,928$7,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,184.642958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No37c20,446$7,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,825.675156.9%29 W · 22 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No37c20,401$7,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,923.531442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No36c18,888$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,088.384553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed No37c18,677$6,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,766.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+148.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked No37c18,090$6,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,396.973100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+114%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed Yes62c16,528$10,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,247.41957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No37c16,287$6,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,260.843641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes61c15,030$9,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,191.11,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Yes61c14,581$8,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,894.461963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+46.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No53c13,952$7,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,505.962,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No37c13,675$5,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,615.253240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No37c13,514$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,513.513360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No37c13,500$4,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,5054427.3%12 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked No37c13,387$4,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,433.831457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No39c12,955$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,955.452572%18 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No36c12,315$4,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,844.171947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No46c12,106$5,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,533.5376941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No37c11,520$4,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,257.62347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb99d…1e6abacked No37c11,351$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,151.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked No36c11,263$4,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,192.55475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+100.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbca…9863backed Yes30c11,000$3,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,309.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9963…32e4backed No36c10,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,400560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed No36c10,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,400944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed No37c10,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No37c9,382$3,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,910.864544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes61c8,937$5,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,447.144955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed No41c8,566$3,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,053.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+88.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No73c7,903$5,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,137.6612868%87 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No37c7,631$2,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,808.891553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No39c7,067$2,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,310.732050%10 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked No37c7,000$2,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4102100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick43cpaid+139.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba46…956ebacked Yes61c6,727$4,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,103.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No40c6,617$2,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,954.547055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No37c6,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8105545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No37c5,537$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,482.6213149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed No38c5,203$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,225.771643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No39c5,187$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,164.071040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No58c5,098$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,128.2544952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes61c5,082$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No38c5,078$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,147.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed No37c5,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,139.991070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked No48c4,943$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,592.961163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No36c4,500$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,880862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No37c4,054$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,554.051650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No40c4,050$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4303455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No39c4,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.996858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a3f…6b27backed Yes58c3,936$2,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,268.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No37c3,840$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,419.21250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No36c3,500$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,240366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+45.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No39c3,333$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.134551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc6…8accbacked Yes62c3,301$2,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,047.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed No78c3,300$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.993366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Yes61c3,280$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.83046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa43…22f3backed Yes62c3,226$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No36c3,200$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0481650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Yes64c3,140$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22b6…0ebcbacked No35c3,086$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,005.71875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+81.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed No39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+106.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes60c3,000$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8141241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No34c3,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.997143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No37c3,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.978124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x359d…d7ebbacked Yes61c2,949$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.11154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+51.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No40c2,875$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.991662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Yes65c2,833$1,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,841.451275%9 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+67.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No37c2,800$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7642166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.