Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc65e24cc10c071c4643186287441624cb41040a3c66a2971e5fc44479cc25146
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,093,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,419,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,093,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0197…9f3cbacked Yes | 65c | 6,949,025$4,532,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416,283.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 35c | 2,204,237$772,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772,698.82 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 34c | 1,359,999$466,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466,899.63 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed No | 34c | 659,995$226,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226,598.28 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 37c | 373,988$136,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136,895.79 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes | 63c | 318,004$199,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118,044.15 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 34c | 288,964$99,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,575.76 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 264,289$90,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,785.01 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes | 63c | 200,000$126,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,000 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 37c | 195,161$72,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,209.49 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 35c | 160,000$56,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,999.98 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac4…c1ddbacked Yes | 65c | 152,954$99,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,414.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 35c | 150,000$52,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,500 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 35c | 140,756$49,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,264.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 36c | 135,237$48,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,447.04 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 35c | 129,743$45,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,410.29 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 34c | 115,001$39,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,521.34 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 34c | 114,979$39,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,092.71 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 35c | 108,314$37,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,909.9 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Yes | 65c | 100,000$65,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,000 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed No | 35c | 98,719$34,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,551.67 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 35c | 94,838$33,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,591.54 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 35c | 92,763$32,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,779.97 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 35c | 85,187$29,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,892.87 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 35c | 80,555$28,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,194.24 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes | 65c | 70,000$45,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,500 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 35c | 68,361$23,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,926.35 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 35c | 62,200$21,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,926.5 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 35c | 61,560$21,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,546 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Yes | 64c | 59,608$38,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,459.05 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 55,090$12,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,874.16 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked No | 36c | 50,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,999.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 35c | 47,561$16,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,598.61 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 35c | 45,000$15,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,550 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 35c | 42,302$14,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,862.54 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 35c | 40,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 35c | 40,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d7…0501backed No | 35c | 40,000$13,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,941.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed No | 35c | 37,718$13,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,201.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 64c | 37,000$23,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,320 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 23c | 34,988$8,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,109.5 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…0fa2backed Yes | 63c | 31,797$20,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,764.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 34c | 30,000$10,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,299.99 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…f032backed Yes | 62c | 30,000$18,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,399.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd414…6a0cbacked No | 38c | 29,134$11,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,081.44 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 35c | 27,803$9,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,824.03 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 35c | 27,720$9,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,702 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 31cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 35c | 26,961$9,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,436.27 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed No | 35c | 25,630$8,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,970.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 37c | 25,000$9,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,250 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 36c | 22,627$8,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,145.62 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Yes | 63c | 20,125$12,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,446.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,399.97 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 37c | 18,919$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.99 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 36c | 18,797$6,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,767 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +59%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 35c | 18,469$6,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,464.23 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 35c | 18,096$6,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,386.92 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 50c | 17,563$8,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,781.53 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d3…22d1backed No | 35c | 16,154$5,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,653.85 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 35c | 16,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 63c | 15,910$10,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,886.7 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…9d1fbacked No | 43c | 15,899$6,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,838.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…0f14backed No | 43c | 15,850$6,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,817.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed No | 24c | 15,671$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 35c | 15,550$5,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,467.94 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…c91ebacked Yes | 61c | 14,771$9,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 36c | 13,815$4,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,973.29 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 36c | 12,783$4,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,602 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked No | 35c | 12,008$4,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,202.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 38c | 11,761$4,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,469.18 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 62c | 11,410$7,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,362.9 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…3d75backed No | 38c | 10,993$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,149.67 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdd…07c7backed No | 5c | 10,767$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 62c | 10,533$6,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,028.46 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Yes | 64c | 10,517$6,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,786.19 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed No | 0c | 10,433$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 5c | 10,300$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.99 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed No | 35c | 10,075$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13ea…9a8cbacked No | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.95 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 36c | 9,909$3,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,522.43 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 49c | 9,771$4,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,766.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 19c | 9,576$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.06 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 26c | 9,319$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.79 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 47c | 9,310$4,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,375.7 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +62%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 35c | 9,044$3,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,165.75 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 38c | 9,033$3,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.18 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 39c | 9,031$3,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,545.83 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 9,015$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.67 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 36c | 9,007$3,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,242.64 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 20c | 9,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 36c | 8,776$3,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,196.4 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed No | 35c | 8,138$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 37c | 8,108$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 67c | 8,042$5,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.69 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes | 63c | 7,937$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.51 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked No | 35c | 7,892$2,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,742.59 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.