Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75aba37bb339a38d9b40dd4ed90600bc7be722b94e8c0a5da1d5513adc05bf39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $594,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $663,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $594,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 69c | 78,274$54,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,264.95 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 0c | 31,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 79c | 23,409$18,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,915.82 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Yes | 14c | 21,298$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Yes | 31c | 15,739$4,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,879.03 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 32c | 10,646$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4076…c448backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 9,037$7,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.31 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Yes | 37c | 9,011$3,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.58 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed Yes | 22c | 8,911$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6699backed No | 79c | 8,911$7,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 78c | 8,900$6,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 68c | 7,319$4,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.23 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 22c | 7,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 52c | 6,544$3,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.11 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7e…460ebacked Yes | 23c | 6,522$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 15c | 6,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 78c | 5,978$4,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.24 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 21c | 5,949$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.29 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 22c | 5,909$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6c…5013backed Yes | 34c | 5,834$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 5,514$4,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.52 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed Yes | 22c | 4,900$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.38 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 21c | 4,624$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.02 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 23c | 4,511$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.47 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 50c | 4,482$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xceec…4ad9backed Yes | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 22c | 4,318$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.98 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Yes | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0652…9134backed Yes | 2c | 4,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Yes | 10c | 3,909$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.88 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 3,696$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.39 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 21c | 3,571$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.91 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 76c | 3,478$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.58 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…6964backed Yes | 22c | 3,036$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 16c | 2,613$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.3 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 8c | 2,413$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 72c | 2,365$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.98 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…664abacked Yes | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Yes | 31c | 2,193$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ce…8296backed No | 70c | 2,157$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 66c | 2,109$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.19 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…1d60backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 77c | 1,948$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.93 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 71c | 1,796$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 15c | 1,793$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.36 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 22c | 1,747$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.23 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,730$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 64c | 1,701$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.94 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 1,678$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.04 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20f…06a4backed No | 79c | 1,400$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 69c | 1,381$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.09 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe848…cfc4backed Yes | 21c | 1,367$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a2…b04dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 1,341$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.03 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…9a02backed Yes | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Yes | 29c | 1,190$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 21c | 1,144$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.2 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 10c | 1,072$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.17 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Yes | 36c | 1,072$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.77 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8675…e850backed Yes | 23c | 1,050$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.56 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 67c | 1,044$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.35 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3a…99febacked Yes | 10c | 1,037$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 20c | 1,025$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…bc24backed Yes | 25c | 1,004$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 30c | 999.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 78c | 994$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.68 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 20c | 980.84$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.94 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Yes | 15c | 969.73$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 78c | 939.98$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 22c | 933$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.13 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…c986backed Yes | 23c | 870$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 76c | 866$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.3 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 22c | 818$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.96 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb8…536fbacked Yes | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 21c | 799.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 78c | 786.38$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.62 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 21c | 777$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Yes | 22c | 767.05$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes | 21c | 766.67$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…8de2backed Yes | 15c | 765$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 8c | 749$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2a…9f14backed Yes | 8c | 734.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 77c | 734$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.03 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Yes | 8c | 721.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked No | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…4965backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Yes | 11c | 665.7$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…3992backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1627…9764backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…453fbacked Yes | 22c | 614.09$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.1 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 24c | 614.04$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.37 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked No | 73c | 606$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?Yes won
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.