TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35b1…8962

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
170
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT5543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$778.15
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$551.81
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$561.86
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$179.05
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Switzerland leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.4
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$134.15
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Egypt leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$266.15
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Argentina vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.26
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$288.64
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.78
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.18
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Belgium vs. Senegal: Second half draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$55.52
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.1
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.53
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.24
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$85.26
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.74
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.03
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$480.78
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$670
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$18.07
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$404.3
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.02
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.08
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.15
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+45%+$72.03
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.44
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$269.16
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$810.16
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.43
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,708Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,707.72
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$8,943Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+43%+$3,841.73
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,232Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$3,363.92
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,268Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+128.9%+$2,924.26
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+153%+$3,257.82
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$814Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+155.4%+$1,264.82
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,711Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+76.7%+$3,612.13
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$220.7
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will KF Valur vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
KF Valur vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.23
NK Aluminij vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)backed FC St. Gallen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
SK Dinamo Tbilisi vs. FK Žalgiris Vilnius: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Valletta FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$63
Paide Linnameeskond vs. Zirə FK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Paide Linnameeskond vs. Zirə FK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. FC Inter Turku end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+381.1%+$131.6
Spread: PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5)backed Derry City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$67.24
Elimai FK vs. Alashkert FA: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$74.45
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Poprad: Matthias Ujvary vs Karol Filarbacked Karol Filar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,241.33
Livesport Prague Open: Tereza Valentova vs Daria Snigurbacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.12
Set Handicap: Bejlek (-1.5) vs Tagger (+1.5)backed Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$136.59
Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Sara Bejlekbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$439.58
Estoril Open: Andrey Rublev vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$75.48
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$100.8
Set Handicap: Timofeeva (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)backed Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
Livesport Prague Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Sara Bejlekbacked Maria Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Livesport Prague Open: Mai Hontama vs Lilli Taggerbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$641Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$359.5
Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$973.67
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Helioevaara/Patten vs Arevalo/Pavicbacked Helioevaara/Patten · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$140.96
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. RU Saint-Gilloise end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+400%+$400
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. NK Celje: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$78
AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.8
Spread: KF Víkingur (-1.5)backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$252.29
KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$596.08
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$942Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$235.44
PFK Levski Sofia vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$877Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$877.04
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.36
Spread: Celtics (-16.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.59
Suns vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$49.15
Spread: Clippers (-17.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.43
Spread: Clippers (-14.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$202.54
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.88
Spread: Suns (-10.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,002.98
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Spread: Hornets (-8.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$71.07
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$495
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+123.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,371Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$2,806.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Magdeburg vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$204.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.