MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88ec7b21be678fa914ed480702cb474f354199cd91ef60eb0f6bc3123304fcb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $233,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 37,250$22,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,004.86 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 35,289$19,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,684.12 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 27,000$10,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,130 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 18,077$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Cincinnati Reds | 78c | 18,045$14,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,026.38 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 15,109$9,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,059.18 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 12,119$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,318.5 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 8,888$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,155.04 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,425 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 7,195$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.45 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 5,110$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670.33 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.05 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 4,859$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.68 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 4,825$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.34 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 4,774$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.31 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 4,463$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.57 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 4,368$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.01 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 4,210$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.62 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.97 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 3,533$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.04 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 69c | 2,971$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.61 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 2,800$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 2,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.72 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 2,076$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.17 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 1,834$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.73 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 1,829$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.85 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 1,598$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.21 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 1,512$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.85 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 1,355$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.17 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 1,173$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.79 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,059$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.68 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 21c | 1,036$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 1,024$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.16 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 1,019$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.22 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 999.96$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.98 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 980.08$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.25 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 942.31$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.58 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…040fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 922.3$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.03 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 920.31$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.11 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 875$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…7f0cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 869.26$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.97 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 718.51$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.55 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 714.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.28 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 696.95$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.42 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…a2edbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 641.48$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 25c | 627.11$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.5 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 621.83$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.75 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…ae33backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 565.71$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 543$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.91 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 526.77$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.97 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 515.53$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.71 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 500.25$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.23 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 490$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.77 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 483.16$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.97 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 470.27$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.6 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 470$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.08 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 452.07$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed St. Louis Cardinals | 73c | 436.22$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.44 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 426.04$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.29 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 414.27$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.62 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 409.38$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.38 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 404.52$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.92 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 379.31$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 367.94$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.19 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 366.37$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 350$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 346.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 345.58$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.22 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1269…8162backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 341.55$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 334.94$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.82 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 327.88$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.7 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 309.79$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.87 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 308.41$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.66 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 305.65$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.36 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 303.48$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.66 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 302.74$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.59 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 300.44$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.26 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 295.81$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 292.94$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.98 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb7…1dd0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 288.79$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 281.76$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.42 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 267.23$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.75 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 263.62$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.18 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 258$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 258$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.66 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 253.52$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.31 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 251.36$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.55 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.