MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a792741f02cb0b7d6a5ecd2c337452c36700632a4b77ea112ac9a624c909b83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $382,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $382,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 46c | 215,509$99,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,347.52 | 444 | 46.8%208 W · 236 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 54c | 128,924$69,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,785.75 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 55c | 111,111$61,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,999.95 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 45c | 92,666$41,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,699.69 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 55c | 41,807$22,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,891 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 57c | 15,243$8,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,629.37 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Over | 44c | 10,619$4,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,672.51 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Under | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Under | 53c | 7,784$4,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.23 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 7,725$4,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,490.26 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…9348backed Over | 43c | 5,310$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.69 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 55c | 5,009$2,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.96 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Over | 43c | 4,717$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.29 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.98 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 46c | 2,709$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.71 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Over | 45c | 2,274$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.67 | 343 | 53.4%183 W · 160 L | +18.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 2,100$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.28 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 46c | 2,082$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.62 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 46c | 1,830$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.57 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 54c | 1,441$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.84 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 53c | 1,382$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.94 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 1,284$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.14 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 47c | 1,221$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.87 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 45c | 1,200$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 1,162$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.4 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Under | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Over | 48c | 1,052$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Under | 55c | 1,030$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.71 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 61c | 825.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.19 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 47c | 745$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.15 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 48c | 592.79$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.94 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 49c | 585.6$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.94 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 55c | 575.75$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.53 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 54c | 555.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.55 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 54c | 548$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.53 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 47c | 500$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.54 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 44c | 478$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.32 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…bb4ebacked Under | 56c | 457.14$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.14 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 32c | 414.16$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 46c | 396$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.16 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Under | 52c | 384$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +12.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 52c | 382.01$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.61 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 44c | 360.89$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.79 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Under | 55c | 336.36$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.73 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 54c | 317.34$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.91 | 455 | 45.7%208 W · 247 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…bb7bbacked Under | 54c | 308.39$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.86 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 240 | 59.2%142 W · 98 L | +18.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Over | 47c | 265.57$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 234.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Over | 45c | 229$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Over | 45c | 229$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 284 | 52.5%149 W · 135 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 48c | 209.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 52c | 197$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 55c | 177.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 63c | 165.18$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 453 | 58.7%266 W · 187 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 21c | 147$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 46c | 144.02$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 47c | 132.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 27c | 131.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 54c | 124.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Over | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Under | 56c | 112.12$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 46c | 110.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 46c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 366 | 50.8%186 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…2f02backed Over | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 19c | 108.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 55c | 103.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 551 | 46.8%258 W · 293 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Over | 25c | 97.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Over | 47c | 94.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 45c | 92.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 92.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 55c | 90.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Over | 46c | 82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 47c | 79.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 676 | 53.1%359 W · 317 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 47c | 77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Over | 22c | 77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Under | 56c | 75.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Over | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 28c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 33c | 63.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Over | 44c | 59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 286 | 47.2%135 W · 151 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Under | 72c | 58.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Over | 47c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 44c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Over | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Over | 45c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…ed90backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Over | 47c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis CardinalsCincinnati Reds won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.