NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2f7f6af095bc7c1ec6daf41938859962fc3296f45c47a58a16bf0ee82ed4180

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Celticsof Celtics, Heat
Resolved: Apr 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $43,946
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $44,277

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,946 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1117…3532backed Celtics	46c	10,000$4,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,399.98	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec1…057cbacked Heat	54c	8,977$4,863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,862.51	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Celtics	46c	7,257$3,338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,918.86	272	51.1%139 W · 133 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Heat	54c	6,499$3,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,509.58	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Heat	55c	4,895$2,670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,669.8	158	50.6%80 W · 78 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Heat	54c	2,968$1,603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,602.72	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Celtics	46c	2,809$1,296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,513.32	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics	46c	2,079$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,118.31	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Celtics	45c	2,000$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,100	310	46.8%145 W · 165 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics	45c	1,668$756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$912.46	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics	45c	1,641$739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$902.48	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics	63c	1,560$979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$581.07	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Heat	52c	1,323$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.82	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Heat	52c	1,152$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.33	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Heat	53c	1,046$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.64	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Celtics	47c	999.98$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$529.99	442	52.3%231 W · 211 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Heat	53c	999.93$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.96	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce0…f955backed Heat	54c	929.97$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.19	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Heat	54c	881.37$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.5	144	55.6%80 W · 64 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Heat	54c	860.75$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.81	193	59.6%115 W · 78 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb120…f2ffbacked Celtics	46c	667.3$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.61	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Celtics	48c	645.91$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335.89	73	37%27 W · 46 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Heat	53c	635.99$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.08	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Celtics	48c	581.28$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.27	443	45.1%200 W · 243 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Celtics	46c	555$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.7	447	40.7%182 W · 265 L	-27.5wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Celtics	46c	551.53$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.83	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Celtics	48c	512.93$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.72	184	48.9%90 W · 94 L	-13.3wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Celtics	46c	481.82$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Heat	52c	477.09$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.09	138	35.5%49 W · 89 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Heat	52c	450.99$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.51	935	43.6%408 W · 527 L	-32.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Celtics	46c	450.51$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.28	293	44.4%130 W · 163 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Celtics	46c	369$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.26	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7563…7654backed Heat	55c	353.82$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.6	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Heat	54c	353.59$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.94	142	43%61 W · 81 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Heat	26c	327.93$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.05	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e80…9cebbacked Heat	54c	313$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.02	82	48.8%40 W · 42 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Celtics	65c	301.23$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.43	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Heat	54c	291.72$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.53	216	53.7%116 W · 100 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Heat	53c	282.37$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.66	195	48.7%95 W · 100 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Heat	15c	228.59$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.26	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Celtics	47c	212.76$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.76	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Celtics	48c	208.3$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.32	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Celtics	47c	207.32$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.88	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Celtics	47c	207.32$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.88	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Heat	46c	200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	382	42.9%164 W · 218 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Heat	54c	194.48$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.02	92	55.4%51 W · 41 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics	54c	194.48$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.46	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Heat	54c	185$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.9	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Celtics	47c	167.5$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.77	193	48.2%93 W · 100 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Celtics	48c	153.11$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.62	280	56.4%158 W · 122 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Heat	53c	146.69$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.74	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Heat	21c	132.48$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.24	118	33.9%40 W · 78 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35b1…8962backed Heat	47c	129.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.36	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.21per pick	48cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Heat	19c	118.47$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.51	378	48.7%184 W · 194 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5715…1616backed Celtics	46c	105.17$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.79	63	33.3%21 W · 42 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	+50.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Heat	54c	90.04$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.62	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Heat	39c	81.89$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.94	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Celtics	45c	79.99$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.99	481	52%250 W · 231 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…9a30backed Celtics	68c	74.33$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.79	75	44%33 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2d…c277backed Celtics	46c	72.97$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.09	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfef5…4e98backed Heat	54c	72.03$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.9	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Celtics	46c	67.73$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.58	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Celtics	46c	65.76$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.51	553	47.9%265 W · 288 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Celtics	48c	62.29$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.39	198	51%101 W · 97 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Heat	37c	62.11$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.03	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Heat	54c	61.23$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.06	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Heat	50c	58.85$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.43	492	49.8%245 W · 247 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Heat	53c	58.31$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.9	230	51.3%118 W · 112 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Celtics	47c	54.74$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.01	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbc…f42bbacked Heat	55c	53.39$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.18	138	48.6%67 W · 71 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Heat	50c	52.02$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.01	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Celtics	48c	52$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.04	358	49.7%178 W · 180 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ca…e04dbacked Celtics	46c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Heat	55c	44.23$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.33	332	49.7%165 W · 167 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ad…bde6backed Heat	55c	44.23$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.33	97	49.5%48 W · 49 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0158…75a5backed Celtics	47c	40.79$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.62	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Heat	36c	40.74$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.48	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Heat	54c	39.87$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.53	113	55.8%63 W · 50 L	+6.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x68cc…e8c8backed Heat	52c	37.35$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.42	89	51.7%46 W · 43 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50fd…ee77backed Heat	53c	36.86$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.43	138	52.2%72 W · 66 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x387b…fd56backed Celtics	48c	36.21$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.98	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Heat	54c	36.01$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.45	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Heat	55c	35.38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.46	183	47.5%87 W · 96 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Heat	55c	35.38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.46	256	42.2%108 W · 148 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Celtics	47c	34.12$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.08	130	38.5%50 W · 80 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics	50c	33.3$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.65	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Celtics	47c	30.32$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.07	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dbf…3ef8backed Celtics	46c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.2	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	-5.7wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Celtics	46c	29.02$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.67	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x853f…d2a8backed Celtics	47c	28.26$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.98	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.5wins	+0.18per pick	39cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dbf…a9ffbacked Heat	53c	27.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.58	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1feb…df66backed Celtics	64c	27.18$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.78	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	66cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde58…b901backed Heat	54c	27.01$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.59	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Heat	55c	25.95$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.27	148	52.7%78 W · 70 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4168…a631backed Heat	54c	25.8$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.93	121	46.3%56 W · 65 L	-6.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Heat	54c	25.21$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.61	251	50.6%127 W · 124 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Heat	54c	24.91$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.45	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Heat	55c	24.77$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.62	599	48.4%290 W · 309 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98cf…b8eabacked Heat	55c	23.32$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.82	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.16per pick	57cpaid	-28%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Heat	55c	20.95$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.52	533	49.3%263 W · 270 L	-28.8wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Celtics (-5.5)this page
1H Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
1H Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Celtics won
Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 14.5No won
Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Celtics vs. HeatCeltics won
Celtics vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
Celtics vs. Heat: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 228.5Over won
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 229.5Over won
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 230.5Over won
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Over won
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Over won
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 245.5Over won
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 247.5Over won
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 249.5Over won
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 250.5Over won
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 252.5Over won
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 255.5Over won
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 256.5Over won
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-16.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-18.5)Heat won
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Celtics (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event