NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Heat

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe11e667a2de3699387e20f25622bf6c7ba0485a9154bd648933616fbfab1aa5c

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Celticsof Celtics, Heat
Resolved: Apr 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,497,881
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,849,655

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,497,881 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,377 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Heat	36c	436,779$157,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157,240.39	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Celtics	64c	181,851$116,997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64,854.31	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Celtics	64c	97,840$62,618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,222.4	176	46%81 W · 95 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Celtics	69c	81,724$56,568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,155.8	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Celtics	64c	63,000$40,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,680	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Heat	28c	59,668$16,631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,631.06	102	52%53 W · 49 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Celtics	64c	48,920$31,309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,611.2	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Heat	5c	48,608$2,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,262.71	301	57.1%172 W · 129 L	+14.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Heat	33c	46,386$15,464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,463.6	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Heat	19c	45,328$8,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,628.87	76	38.2%29 W · 47 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Heat	19c	39,945$7,580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,580.37	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Heat	37c	38,488$14,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,240.56	111	37.8%42 W · 69 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Celtics	63c	35,053$22,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,981.8	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Celtics	64c	34,392$22,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,305.97	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Heat	36c	32,046$11,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,472.63	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics	63c	31,879$20,084 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,795.3	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Celtics	68c	31,663$21,568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,094.67	50	64%32 W · 18 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Celtics	65c	30,000$19,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,499.96	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Celtics	64c	29,841$19,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,742.83	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Heat	0c	27,340$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.34	149	53%79 W · 70 L	+10.0wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heat	35c	25,027$8,826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,826.1	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Heat	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x445f…07d4backed Celtics	65c	23,000$14,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,050.01	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Celtics	63c	20,000$12,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,400	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Heat	36c	20,000$7,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,200	180	45%81 W · 99 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Heat	17c	19,853$3,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,449.77	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Heat	10c	18,706$1,861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,861.31	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc21e…0215backed Heat	36c	15,941$5,734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,734.46	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Heat	1c	15,635$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.92	279	17.9%50 W · 229 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Heat	36c	15,000$5,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,399.99	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Celtics	66c	14,610$9,642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,967.31	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Heat	0c	13,760$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.04	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Celtics	65c	12,399$8,006 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,393.22	213	50.7%108 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Heat	35c	12,272$4,343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,343.32	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Heat	35c	12,069$4,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,262.58	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee3e…4116backed Heat	0c	12,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	47	21.3%10 W · 37 L	-5.8wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Heat	2c	12,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	189	31.2%59 W · 130 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Heat	35c	12,000$4,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,199.99	158	50.6%80 W · 78 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Heat	36c	11,664$4,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,199.21	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Heat	35c	11,118$3,891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,891.17	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Heat	9c	10,976$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$987.83	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Celtics	63c	10,118$6,372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,746.08	204	54.9%112 W · 92 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Celtics	64c	10,000$6,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,600.02	314	45.2%142 W · 172 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Celtics	64c	10,000$6,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,600	219	51.1%112 W · 107 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Heat	37c	9,622$3,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,560.14	163	46.6%76 W · 87 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Heat	35c	9,600$3,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,359.95	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Heat	35c	8,978$3,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,142.25	352	51.1%180 W · 172 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Heat	35c	8,926$3,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,163.42	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked Heat	34c	8,667$2,947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,946.76	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87d3…0763backed Heat	34c	8,500$2,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,889.85	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Celtics	63c	8,468$5,335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,133.09	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf6…1395backed Heat	37c	8,455$3,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,128.26	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+8.4wins	+0.17per pick	37cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Heat	35c	7,911$2,769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,769	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Heat	1c	7,873$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.49	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Heat	35c	7,859$2,751 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,750.62	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Heat	16c	7,836$1,253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,252.85	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Heat	8c	7,793$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.94	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Heat	1c	7,701$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.95	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0372…3517backed Celtics	66c	7,421$4,898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,523.21	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Celtics	65c	7,320$4,737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,582.61	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Heat	36c	7,105$2,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,557.86	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Celtics	64c	7,000$4,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,520	433	52.2%226 W · 207 L	+19.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Heat	31c	6,923$2,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,168.43	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Celtics	64c	6,344$4,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,283.95	220	36.8%81 W · 139 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat	0c	6,129$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.68	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a59…9a2fbacked Celtics	65c	6,025$3,916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,108.62	168	63.1%106 W · 62 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Celtics	66c	5,784$3,844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,940.54	278	65.8%183 W · 95 L	+25.4wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Heat	35c	5,717$2,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000.8	208	43.8%91 W · 117 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Heat	19c	5,637$1,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,075.82	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Heat	11c	5,413$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.46	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Celtics	63c	5,172$3,259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,913.77	91	59.3%54 W · 37 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Heat	37c	4,971$1,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,836.31	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Heat	36c	4,810$1,731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,730.88	36	63.9%23 W · 13 L	+5.0wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+38%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Heat	36c	4,808$1,731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,730.88	42	7.1%3 W · 39 L	-8.1wins	-0.19per pick	26cpaid	-86.6%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Heat	2c	4,782$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.53	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Celtics	73c	4,697$3,449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,248.25	101	44.6%45 W · 56 L	-9.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d9f…ff8ebacked Celtics	64c	4,695$3,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,690.22	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Heat	3c	4,592$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.75	282	41.1%116 W · 166 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Heat	6c	4,561$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.8	360	23.1%83 W · 277 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked Celtics	65c	4,550$2,936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,613.7	49	63.3%31 W · 18 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Heat	19c	4,386$833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$833.34	113	35.4%40 W · 73 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Heat	36c	4,353$1,585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,585.25	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Heat	36c	4,302$1,563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,562.89	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Heat	35c	4,157$1,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,455.01	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d8…ddf8backed Heat	34c	4,156$1,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,413.11	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.4wins	+0.34per pick	52cpaid	+76.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde58…9d50backed Celtics	65c	4,067$2,643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,423.32	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2386…4986backed Heat	36c	3,884$1,398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,398.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Heat	36c	3,846$1,385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,384.7	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a68…7b56backed Celtics	64c	3,822$2,446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,375.88	80	55%44 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat	36c	3,683$1,326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,325.9	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbacb…a0e3backed Heat	34c	3,670$1,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,247.73	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5872…4b29backed Heat	35c	3,626$1,269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,269.05	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52c7…e564backed Heat	35c	3,570$1,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,249.44	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Heat	1c	3,550$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.25	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a5…9f2cbacked Heat	35c	3,513$1,229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,229.44	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda75…0799backed Heat	35c	3,497$1,224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,223.95	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	44cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Heat	36c	3,259$1,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,169.4	151	40.4%61 W · 90 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Celtics	62c	3,215$2,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,206.77	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbcc…de88backed Heat	35c	3,159$1,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,105.53	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-13%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Heat	12c	3,153$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.56	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Celtics vs. Heatthis page
1H Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
1H Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Celtics won
Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 14.5No won
Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Celtics vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
Celtics vs. Heat: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 228.5Over won
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 229.5Over won
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 230.5Over won
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Over won
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Over won
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 245.5Over won
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 247.5Over won
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 249.5Over won
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 250.5Over won
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 252.5Over won
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 255.5Over won
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 256.5Over won
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-16.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-18.5)Heat won
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Celtics vs. Heat

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event