NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9443f10354bfd97db8e80f8957cd67f5e3b42ed2eaed951ed4e51480386e40d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 1c | 103,083$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.91 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 47c | 36,730$17,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,263.09 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 55c | 14,161$7,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,372.45 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 39c | 10,980$4,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,294.36 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 8,943$4,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,203.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Under | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 53c | 3,377$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.29 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 53c | 3,377$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.29 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 3,377$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.29 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Over | 51c | 2,855$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.81 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 2,455$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.73 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Over | 51c | 1,701$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.4 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 47c | 1,657$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.06 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 24c | 1,491$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.03 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 9c | 1,436$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.31 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Over | 52c | 1,408$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.96 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 1,316$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.44 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 1,315$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.92 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 1,092$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.46 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 55c | 932.43$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.31 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 3c | 864.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Under | 3c | 856.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Over | 52c | 721.21$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.18 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 54c | 720.3$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.34 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 708.88$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.08 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Over | 53c | 640.71$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.56 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…d0e2backed Under | 46c | 640.55$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.65 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 47c | 504.72$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.09 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Over | 52c | 485.6$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.09 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 56c | 481.58$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.9 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 54c | 477.23$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.54 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Over | 54c | 450.19$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 54c | 438.95$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.92 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 47c | 421.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.91 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 420.91$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.62 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 55c | 389.2$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.14 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Under | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under | 4c | 381.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde73…1df9backed Over | 51c | 376.82$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Over | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Over | 55c | 354.58$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.56 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 54c | 348.9$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.75 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 331.21$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.36 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Under | 47c | 322.41$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.53 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…3d2ebacked Over | 51c | 317.82$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Under | 27c | 312.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 51c | 304.4$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.16 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…cc30backed Over | 51c | 302.6$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over | 53c | 292$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.24 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…2509backed Over | 51c | 268.34$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 54c | 260.6$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.88 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 219.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 59c | 206.43$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…c762backed Over | 51c | 203.64$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over | 52c | 194.72$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.47 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 54c | 194.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Under | 47c | 193.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 53c | 183.05$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.28 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b40…3f97backed Over | 51c | 182.7$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 53c | 157.76$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.15 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 47c | 148.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 21c | 138.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 55c | 132.68$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…be19backed Over | 51c | 129.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 55c | 124.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 53c | 124.27$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 46c | 123.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Under | 50c | 116.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 46c | 108.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 107.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Under | 46c | 107.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x199a…b9d4backed Under | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Under | 50c | 96.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a9…c488backed Under | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695f…1b67backed Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 66c | 91.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0478backed Over | 55c | 86.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 46c | 83.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 81.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 70c | 71.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 70c | 66.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Over | 72c | 64.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 37c | 59.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…fdb4backed Over | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed Under | 50c | 55.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Over | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 222 | 49.5%110 W · 112 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 46c | 51.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Over | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 38c | 46.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Over | 63c | 46.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Celtics won
- Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Celtics vs. HeatCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Heat: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 229.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 230.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 244.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 245.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 247.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 249.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 250.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 252.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 255.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 256.5Over won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-13.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-15.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-16.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-18.5)Heat won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.