TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,599
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,213

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,599 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c29,543$14,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,874.791,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9b…945abacked Under51c9,960$5,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,079.774151.2%21 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c8,423$4,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,211.741,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Under51c8,032$4,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,096.3374748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c5,740$2,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,946.979,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under51c4,432$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260.181,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under51c3,562$1,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,816.641,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under50c2,975$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.4939842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c2,829$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.54,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over49c2,505$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.191,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over49c2,505$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.191,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over49c1,824$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.4590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Under34c1,130$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.4614549%71 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…307dbacked Under51c951.57$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.38859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c783.23$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.626,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over50c745.05$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.1171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over68c657.2$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.1220353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c649.8$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.471,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under42c620.74$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.6995452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c550$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.751,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over49c545.01$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.341,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c521.66$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.91,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over48c504.58$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.3856447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under51c493.94$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9156843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over55c472.61$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.662,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c470.27$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.732,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over58c466.67$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19613835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb68b…9b23backed Under45c450$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.56556.9%37 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Over49c395.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7913349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked Under51c380.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.127841%32 W · 46 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Under52c374.74$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.22742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Under51c359.31$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.2511833.9%40 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c353.06$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1732,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under52c329.86$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Under51c307.27$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.2714455.6%80 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Under51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15315446.1%71 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over49c296.76$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3539552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Under51c277.86$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7119359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Under51c272.51$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9814243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over48c270.8$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.7117643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Over49c201.29$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.667455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over49c199.05$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9651647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under52c197.85$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0581349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over50c196.95$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4735744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over67c194.91$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5257550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under52c177.24$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3834953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over76c173.47$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.788,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d6…48b6backed Under23c159.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Over49c158.27$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7282440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over49c154$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5429352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7526345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over50c148.4$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.267248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x387b…fd56backed Over48c140.56$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.096145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over49c139.6$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.671,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73d6…09edbacked Over50c135.8$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.910047%47 W · 53 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Over48c130$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.66746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over77c128.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4625150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under52c126.26$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6542853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under52c124.07$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5280653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4038242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Under50c98.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4913052.3%68 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over50c98.94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4749852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Under52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5610745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Under52c86.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.812159.5%72 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over50c79.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9223840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c77.19$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.774,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c76.74$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.92,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under51c74.86$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1860945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over66c62.21$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.371,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under50c61.91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.961,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over50c58.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.18657%49 W · 37 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under51c57.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1210850%54 W · 54 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under51c54.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.047751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Over51c53.11$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.027441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over66c42$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2880440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x366c…ec19backed Under41c40.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5913748.2%66 W · 71 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e13…b909backed Under52c38.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.25048%24 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over49c30.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5991746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.240440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9681…9199backed Under51c29.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.855754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Under56c26.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.910850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over50c26.52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.351,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2d…cd74backed Under56c26.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.612364.2%79 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Under44c26.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4921851.8%113 W · 105 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc3c…759bbacked Under43c25.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.839742.3%41 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under43c25.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over62c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1278639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over49c23.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1137853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over62c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7445544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under51c22.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.252,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over47c22.03$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6764844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over49c21.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.021,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over71c17.97$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1514359.4%85 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.