Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef5d80e87d113bf4d35320483acc7bb3c3342d31f4c9fdfb3eed8cf762336463
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 54c | 5,704$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,089.92 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 39c | 3,846$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.15 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 33c | 3,151$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.02 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 34c | 1,570$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.31 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 30c | 1,541$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.83 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 56c | 1,415$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.3 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 46c | 1,387$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.49 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 37c | 1,034$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.28 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 44c | 881.63$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.92 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 69c | 881.57$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.63 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 41c | 853.63$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.64 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 29c | 827.59$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.59 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 63c | 795$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.85 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Over | 40c | 737.5$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 61c | 706.56$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.04 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Over | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 18c | 606$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.88 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 68c | 603.36$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Under | 49c | 574.94$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 37c | 532$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.16 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 29c | 482.76$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 58c | 453$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.74 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 67c | 428.4$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 60c | 321.6$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.76 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 72cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 33c | 300.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.66 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +13.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 33c | 293$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 38c | 241$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.98 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 21c | 179.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.61 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 29c | 170.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 61c | 165.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…85fbbacked Under | 70c | 157.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Over | 40c | 156.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 29c | 154.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 47c | 141.51$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 53c | 139.72$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 28c | 136.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Under | 15c | 119.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 119$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 62c | 118$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 74c | 107.2$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 73c | 105.63$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 59c | 101.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 67c | 94.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 28c | 85.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 36c | 82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Under | 64c | 78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 59c | 72.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 32c | 69.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 57c | 62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 43c | 60.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…4d59backed Over | 40c | 50.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 40c | 43.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…7832backed Under | 62c | 41.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 32c | 33.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…482abacked Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…37f9backed Under | 62c | 30.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 38c | 30.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Under | 69c | 29.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x073c…342dbacked Over | 41c | 26.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 57c | 24.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf809…2ef1backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5this page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: St. Louis City SC O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: St. Louis City SC O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)St. Louis City SC won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)St. Louis City SC won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-1.5)St. Louis City SC won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.