Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb15e0cc5d36228e32cb5eae8a248e8e18b8640b6193bcbb55a665b8eda188fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 2,597$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.14 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 22c | 2,095$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.42 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 15c | 1,429$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.52 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Under | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Over | 48c | 1,162$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 57c | 987.4$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.58 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 39c | 583.47$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.55 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 29c | 476.85$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.75 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 58c | 436.66$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.4 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 68c | 401$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.76 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 70c | 350.43$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.66 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 48c | 310.38$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 77c | 249.06$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 80c | 213.7$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Over | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…2a65backed Over | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 76c | 172.01$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 39c | 162.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 146.28$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 49c | 128.67$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…d3fabacked Over | 61c | 127.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…bcd6backed Under | 17c | 126.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 42c | 109.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 61c | 109.26$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Over | 51c | 95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 16c | 93.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 16c | 84.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 52c | 79.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 74c | 78.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 47c | 64.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…2b48backed Over | 61c | 58.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 55c | 57.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 60c | 53.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 44c | 44.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 54c | 43.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Over | 47c | 42.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…7832backed Under | 40c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257b…2896backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 54c | 28.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 55c | 19.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: St. Louis City SC O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: St. Louis City SC O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)St. Louis City SC won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)St. Louis City SC won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-1.5)St. Louis City SC won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.