TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
St. Louis City SCof Los Angeles Galaxy, St. Louis City SC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,811
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,810

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,811 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x160b…4296backed Los Angeles Galaxy23c10,640$2,477 inLost-$2,476.6321547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis City SC77c7,017$5,377 inWon+$1,639.393,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Los Angeles Galaxy16c1,433$224 inLost-$223.6698945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked St. Louis City SC77c920.72$709 inWon+$211.7771443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked St. Louis City SC77c789.22$608 inWon+$181.5253046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed St. Louis City SC77c523$402 inWon+$121.171,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked St. Louis City SC77c256$197 inWon+$58.8827047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed St. Louis City SC77c179.34$138 inWon+$41.2523350.6%118 W · 115 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Los Angeles Galaxy23c157.59$36 inLost-$36.256558.5%38 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked St. Louis City SC77c156$120 inWon+$36.418456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Galaxy23c123.97$28 inLost-$27.8926150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked St. Louis City SC78c73.42$57 inWon+$16.155954.2%32 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed St. Louis City SC76c62.88$48 inWon+$14.828454.8%46 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed St. Louis City SC76c62.88$48 inWon+$14.8211848.3%57 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed St. Louis City SC77c60$46 inWon+$14.114349%70 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed St. Louis City SC78c51$40 inWon+$11.221994.7%18 W · 1 L+5.8wins+0.31per pick64cpaid+51.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed St. Louis City SC76c31$24 inWon+$7.441,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed St. Louis City SC78c30.49$24 inWon+$6.8314957.7%86 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab95…6c79backed St. Louis City SC77c16.21$12 inWon+$3.731060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed St. Louis City SC78c13.94$11 inWon+$3.079654.2%52 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.