Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b32726f51ae83a41d83b04e2c40c5f52756c3d88b5ba7bf1d4def4f3609a8c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 63c | 5,379$3,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.07 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed No | 36c | 4,444$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.83 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 24c | 3,332$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.06 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 64c | 3,048$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.28 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 64c | 2,448$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.39 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 36c | 1,712$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.18 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 64c | 1,419$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.07 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 36c | 1,388$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.68 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 36c | 1,388$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.68 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 64c | 1,256$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.09 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 36c | 946.23$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.64 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 555.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 36c | 512$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.32 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 38c | 463.36$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.22 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 65c | 419.69$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.57 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 367.75$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.09 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 35c | 249$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 60c | 244.2$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.46 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 39c | 231.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 45c | 187.41$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Yes | 61c | 164.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 159.22$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.32 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4f…613fbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…c41ebacked Yes | 59c | 112.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 60c | 74.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 37c | 73.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 47c | 72.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 45c | 64.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 37c | 62.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 45c | 55.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…696cbacked Yes | 51c | 52.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 37c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 43.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed No | 36c | 34.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 36c | 30.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 43c | 26.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 64c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: St. Louis City SC O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: St. Louis City SC O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)St. Louis City SC won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)St. Louis City SC won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-1.5)St. Louis City SC won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.